🏈 Fan Watch

#6Oregon Ducks

1–0 · 0–0 BIG TEN
In the books
WEEK 2 · 2025
The Week 2 recap

Oregon beat Oklahoma State. Playoff odds moved from 60% to 89%.

Your game

Oklahoma State at Oregon
…
…
CBS
playoff chanceEntering60%Win61%Loss42%
Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State 3%Oregon 97%
Oregon
Final · Oklahoma State 3–69 OregonWish granted ✓

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Oregon wanted
…
…
ESPN+
Impact 1
Rooted for
Louisiana Tech
at
LSU
Final · Louisiana Tech 7–23 LSUWent the other way ✗
Projected 2.7-point playoff boost

LSU won instead, so Oregon did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection63% if Louisiana Tech won60% with the other result2.7-point differenceOregon playoff chance
…
…
ABC
Impact 2
Rooted for
San José State
at
Texas
Final · San José State 7–38 TexasWent the other way ✗
Projected 2.4-point playoff boost

Texas won instead, so Oregon did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection62% if San José State won60% with the other result2.4-point differenceOregon playoff chance
…
…
FOX
Impact 3
Rooted for
Iowa
at
Iowa State
Final · Iowa 13–16 Iowa StateWent the other way ✗
Projected 2.3-point playoff boost

Iowa State won instead, so Oregon did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection61% if Iowa won59% with the other result2.3-point differenceOregon playoff chance
…
…
ABC
Impact 4
Ole Miss
at
Rooted for
Kentucky
Final · Ole Miss 30–23 KentuckyWent the other way ✗
Projected 1.9-point playoff boost

Ole Miss won instead, so Oregon did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection62% if Kentucky won60% with the other result1.9-point differenceOregon playoff chance
…
…
Peacock
Impact 5
Miami (OH)
at
Rooted for
Rutgers
Final · Miami (OH) 17–45 RutgersWish granted ✓
Projected 1.7-point playoff boost

Rutgers won and stayed ranked ahead of its Week 8 game against Oregon.

Entering-week projection61% if Rutgers won59% with the other result1.7-point differenceOregon playoff chance
44 other games had little impact
Delaware at Colorado · FOX
James Madison at Louisville · ESPN2
Northern Illinois at Maryland · BTN
Florida International at Penn State · BTN
Kennesaw State at Indiana · FS1
Illinois at Duke · ESPN
Virginia at NC State · ESPN2
Baylor at SMU · The CW Network
Central Michigan at Pittsburgh · ESPNU
UConn at Syracuse · ESPN+
Kent State at Texas Tech · TNT
Liberty at Jacksonville State · CBSSN
Utah State at Texas A&M · SEC Network
Kansas at Missouri · ESPN2
Fresno State at Oregon State · The CW Network
Troy at Clemson · ACC Network
Bowling Green at Cincinnati · ESPN+
Texas State at UTSA · ESPN+
UAB at Navy · CBSSN
North Texas at Western Michigan · ESPN+
Middle Tennessee at Wisconsin · FS1
West Virginia at Ohio · ESPNU
South Florida at Florida · SEC Network
Arkansas State at Arkansas · ESPN+
Missouri State at Marshall · ESPN+
North Carolina at Charlotte · ESPN+
Army at Kansas State · ESPN
Houston at Rice · ESPN+
Western Kentucky at Toledo · ESPN+
Memphis at Georgia State · ESPN+
Tulane at South Alabama · ESPN+
Ball State at Auburn · ESPNU
Arizona State at Mississippi State · ESPN2
Michigan at Oklahoma · ABC
Vanderbilt at Virginia Tech · ACC Network
Akron at Nebraska · BTN
Georgia Southern at USC · FS1
Boston College at Michigan State · NBC
UL Monroe at Alabama · SEC Network
UCLA at UNLV · CBSSN
Tulsa at New Mexico State · ESPN+
San Diego State at Washington State · The CW Network
Stanford at BYU · ESPN
Sam Houston at Hawai'i
The rooting list was:Oregon, then Louisiana Tech, San José State, Iowa, Kentucky, Rutgers.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 2, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 2). How the model works.