#8Oregon Ducks
8–1 · 5–1 BIG TEN
In the books
WEEK 12 · 2025
13%
Big Ten title game
5%
Win the Big Ten
88%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 8.2
How the week went: playoff odds 88% → 98% · title-game odds 13% → 11%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Oregon's pathYour game
…
… · FOX
Minnesota at #8 Oregon
Your game. Beat Minnesota and your playoff odds are 89%; lose and they drop to 55%.
Final · Minnesota 13–42 OregonWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · NBC
UCLA at #1 Ohio State
Big Ten race: Ohio State losing helps your spot in the standings.
Final · UCLA 10–48 Ohio StateWent the other way ✗
Root for UCLA+50.9 pp title-game odds
…
… · ABC
#11 Oklahoma at #4 Alabama
Alabama winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Oklahoma 23–21 AlabamaWent the other way ✗
Root for Alabama+9.0 pp playoff odds
…
… · ABC
#9 Notre Dame at #22 Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Notre Dame 37–15 PittsburghWent the other way ✗
Root for Pittsburgh+6.2 pp playoff odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ABC
#10 Texas at #5 Georgia
Georgia winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Texas 10–35 GeorgiaWish granted ✓
Root for Georgia+2.9 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
Florida at #7 Ole Miss
Seeding watch: Florida winning moves you from around the 8th seed toward the 8th — a friendlier bracket.
Final · Florida 24–34 Ole MissWent the other way ✗
Root for Florida≈0.6 seed lines
…
… · ESPN2
#13 Utah at Baylor
Baylor winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Utah 55–28 BaylorWent the other way ✗
Root for Baylor+2.1 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
South Carolina at #3 Texas A&M
South Carolina winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · South Carolina 30–31 Texas A&MWent the other way ✗
Root for South Carolina+1.2 pp playoff odds
50 more games that don't move your needle
Michigan at Northwestern · FOX
Kent State at Akron · ESPNU
Ohio at Western Michigan · ESPN2
Buffalo at Central Michigan · CBSSN
Northern Illinois at Massachusetts · ESPNU
Toledo at Miami (OH) · ESPN2
Troy at Old Dominion · ESPN
Clemson at Louisville · ESPN
Wisconsin at Indiana · BTN
Arizona at Cincinnati · FS1
Kansas State at Oklahoma State · ESPNU
Air Force at UConn · CBSSN
UTSA at Charlotte · ESPN+
South Florida at Navy · ESPN2
Eastern Michigan at Ball State · ESPN+
Arkansas at LSU · SEC Network
Oregon State at Tulsa · The CW Network
West Virginia at Arizona State · truTV
Marshall at Georgia State · ESPN+
North Texas at UAB · ESPN+
UTEP at Missouri State · ESPN+
Colorado State at New Mexico
Penn State at Michigan State · CBS
Maryland at Illinois · FS1
Iowa at USC · BTN
Georgia Tech at Boston College · ACC Network
Virginia at Duke · ESPN2
NC State at Miami · ESPN
UCF at Texas Tech · FOX
Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky · ESPN+
San José State at Nevada · CBSSN
App State at James Madison · ESPN+
South Alabama at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Texas State at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Memphis at East Carolina · ESPNU
Florida Atlantic at Tulane · ESPN+
New Mexico State at Tennessee · SEC Network
North Carolina at Wake Forest · The CW Network
Liberty at Florida International · ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
Purdue at Washington · FS1
Delaware at Sam Houston · ESPN+
Utah State at UNLV · CBSSN
Virginia Tech at Florida State · ACC Network
Mississippi State at Missouri · SEC Network
Kennesaw State at Jacksonville State · ESPNU
Louisiana Tech at Washington State · The CW Network
TCU at BYU · ESPN
Boise State at San Diego State · CBSSN
Wyoming at Fresno State · FS1
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 12, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 12).