๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#7Oregon Ducks

0โ€“0 ยท 0โ€“0 BIG TEN
In the books
WEEK 1 ยท 2025
The Week 1 recap

Oregon beat Montana State. Playoff odds moved from 60% to 60%.

Your game

Montana State at Oregon
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Game forecast
Montana State
Forecast TBA
Oregon
Final ยท Montana State 13โ€“59 OregonWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Oregon wanted
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Impact 1
Boise State
at
Rooted for
South Florida
Final ยท Boise State 7โ€“34 South FloridaWish granted โœ“
Projected 1.4-point playoff boost

South Florida won, thinning out the at-large competition for Oregon's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection60% if South Florida won59% with the other result1.4-point differenceOregon playoff chance
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Impact 2
Ohio
at
Rooted for
Rutgers
Final ยท Ohio 31โ€“34 RutgersWish granted โœ“
Projected 1.2-point playoff boost

Rutgers won and stayed ranked ahead of its Week 8 game against Oregon.

Entering-week projection60% if Rutgers won59% with the other result1.2-point differenceOregon playoff chance
46 other games had little impact
Old Dominion at Indiana ยท FS1
Notre Dame at Miami ยท ABC
Iowa State at Kansas State ยท ESPN
Fresno State at Kansas ยท FOX
Sam Houston at Western Kentucky ยท CBSSN
Stanford at Hawai'i ยท CBS
East Carolina at NC State ยท ACC Network
Jacksonville State at UCF ยท ESPN+
Wyoming at Akron ยท ESPN+
Buffalo at Minnesota ยท FS1
Nebraska at Cincinnati ยท ESPN
Miami (OH) at Wisconsin ยท BTN
Western Michigan at Michigan State ยท FS1
Kennesaw State at Wake Forest ยท ACC Network
App State at Charlotte ยท ESPNU
Auburn at Baylor ยท FOX
Georgia Tech at Colorado ยท ESPN
UNLV at Sam Houston ยท CBSSN
Central Michigan at San Josรฉ State ยท FS1
Mississippi State at Southern Miss ยท ESPN
Syracuse at Tennessee ยท ABC
Texas at Ohio State ยท FOX
Florida Atlantic at Maryland ยท BTN
Ball State at Purdue ยท BTN
Northwestern at Tulane ยท ESPNU
Toledo at Kentucky ยท SEC Network
Alabama at Florida State ยท ABC
Marshall at Georgia ยท ESPN
Nevada at Penn State ยท CBS
Temple at Massachusetts ยท ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at Virginia ยท ACC Network
UTSA at Texas A&M ยท ESPN
LSU at Clemson ยท ABC
Missouri State at USC ยท BTN
New Mexico at Michigan ยท NBC
UTEP at Utah State ยท CBSSN
Georgia State at Ole Miss ยท SEC Network
Rice at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Texas State ยท ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Fresno State ยท FS1
California at Oregon State ยท ESPN
Hawai'i at Arizona ยท TNT
Utah at UCLA ยท FOX
Colorado State at Washington ยท BTN
Virginia Tech at South Carolina ยท ESPN
TCU at North Carolina ยท ESPN
The rooting list was:Oregon, then South Florida, Rutgers.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 1, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 1). How the model works.