๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

USC Trojans

4โ€“1 ยท 2โ€“1 BIG TEN
In the books
WEEK 7 ยท 2025
The Week 7 recap

USC beat Michigan. Playoff odds moved from 8% to 13%.

Your game

Michigan at USC
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playoff chanceEntering8%Win12%Loss3%
Michigan
Michigan 37%USC 63%
USC
Final ยท Michigan 13โ€“31 USCWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result USC wanted
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Impact 1
Ohio State
at
Rooted for
Illinois
Final ยท Ohio State 34โ€“16 IllinoisWent the other way โœ—
Projected 4.2-point title-game boost

Ohio State won instead, so USC did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection9% if Illinois won5% with the other result4.2-point differenceUSC Big Ten title-game chance
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Impact 2
Indiana
at
Rooted for
Oregon
Final ยท Indiana 30โ€“20 OregonWent the other way โœ—
Projected 3.0-point title-game boost

Indiana won instead, so USC did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection6% if Oregon won3% with the other result3-point differenceUSC Big Ten title-game chance
53 other games had little impact
Nebraska at Maryland ยท BTN
Missouri State at Middle Tennessee ยท ESPN2
Liberty at UTEP ยท CBSSN
Louisiana Tech at Kennesaw State ยท ESPNU
East Carolina at Tulane ยท ESPN
Jacksonville State at Sam Houston ยท CBSSN
Southern Miss at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN2
South Florida at North Texas ยท ESPN2
Rutgers at Washington ยท FS1
Fresno State at Colorado State ยท CBSSN
Alabama at Missouri ยท ABC
UCLA at Michigan State ยท BTN
Pittsburgh at Florida State ยท ESPN
Stanford at SMU ยท The CW Network
UCF at Cincinnati ยท FS1
Houston at Oklahoma State ยท TNT
Louisiana at James Madison ยท ESPN2
Charlotte at Army ยท CBSSN
Miami (OH) at Akron ยท ESPN+
Toledo at Bowling Green ยท ESPNU
Washington State at Ole Miss ยท SEC Network
Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan ยท ESPN+
Massachusetts at Kent State ยท ESPN+
Oklahoma at Texas ยท ABC
Northwestern at Penn State ยท FS1
Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech ยท ACC Network
NC State at Notre Dame ยท Peacock
Wake Forest at Oregon State ยท The CW Network
Iowa State at Colorado ยท ESPN
TCU at Kansas State ยท FOX
Air Force at UNLV ยท CBSSN
App State at Georgia State ยท ESPN+
Old Dominion at Marshall ยท ESPN+
Ball State at Western Michigan ยท ESPN+
Navy at Temple ยท ESPN2
Arkansas at Tennessee ยท SEC Network
UAB at Florida Atlantic ยท ESPN+
Florida at Texas A&M ยท ESPN
Iowa at Wisconsin ยท FS1
San Josรฉ State at Wyoming ยท CBSSN
UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina ยท ESPN+
Georgia at Auburn ยท ABC
Purdue at Minnesota ยท BTN
Clemson at Boston College ยท ACC Network
Kansas at Texas Tech ยท FOX
Rice at UTSA ยท ESPNU
South Carolina at LSU ยท SEC Network
BYU at Arizona ยท ESPN2
Troy at Texas State ยท ESPN+
New Mexico at Boise State ยท FS1
Arizona State at Utah ยท ESPN
San Diego State at Nevada ยท CBSSN
Utah State at Hawai'i
The rooting list was:USC, then Illinois, Oregon.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 7). How the model works.