🏈 Fan Watch

USC Trojans

2–0 · 0–0 BIG TEN
In the books
WEEK 3 · 2025
The Week 3 recap

USC beat Purdue. Playoff odds moved from 24% to 19%.

Your game

USC at Purdue
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CBS
playoff chanceEntering24%Win25%Loss11%
USC
USC 95%Purdue 5%
Purdue
Final · USC 33–17 PurdueWish granted ✓

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result USC wanted
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FOX
Impact 1
Oregon
at
Rooted for
Northwestern
Final · Oregon 34–14 NorthwesternWent the other way ✗
Projected 7.7-point title-game boost

Oregon won instead, so USC did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection31% if Northwestern won23% with the other result7.7-point differenceUSC Big Ten title-game chance
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Peacock
Impact 2
Rooted for
Ohio
at
Ohio State
Final · Ohio 9–37 Ohio StateWent the other way ✗
Projected 1.9-point playoff boost

Ohio State won instead, so USC did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection26% if Ohio won24% with the other result1.9-point differenceUSC playoff chance
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ESPN
Impact 3
Rooted for
Arkansas
at
Ole Miss
Final · Arkansas 35–41 Ole MissWent the other way ✗
Projected 1.6-point playoff boost

Ole Miss won instead, so USC did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection26% if Arkansas won24% with the other result1.6-point differenceUSC playoff chance
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ESPN2
Impact 4
Oklahoma
at
Rooted for
Temple
Final · Oklahoma 42–3 TempleWent the other way ✗
Projected 1.6-point playoff boost

Oklahoma won instead, so USC did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection26% if Temple won24% with the other result1.6-point differenceUSC playoff chance
42 other games had little impact
NC State at Wake Forest · ESPN
Colorado at Houston · ESPN
Kansas State at Arizona · FOX
New Mexico at UCLA · BTN
Wisconsin at Alabama · ABC
Central Michigan at Michigan · BTN
Clemson at Georgia Tech · ESPN
Memphis at Troy · ESPNU
Buffalo at Kent State · CBSSN
South Alabama at Auburn · SEC Network
Louisiana at Missouri · ESPN+
UConn at Delaware · ESPN+
Georgia at Tennessee · ABC
Oregon State at Texas Tech · FOX
Washington State at North Texas · ESPNU
SMU at Missouri State · CBSSN
Pittsburgh at West Virginia · ESPN
Iowa State at Arkansas State · ESPN2
UTEP at Texas · SEC Network
South Florida at Miami · The CW Network
Liberty at Bowling Green · ESPN+
Middle Tennessee at Nevada
Florida Atlantic at Florida International · ESPN+
Western Michigan at Illinois · FS1
Old Dominion at Virginia Tech · ACC Network
Jacksonville State at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
App State at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Kentucky · ESPNU
Florida at LSU · ABC
Texas A&M at Notre Dame · NBC
Massachusetts at Iowa · BTN
New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
East Carolina at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
Vanderbilt at South Carolina · SEC Network
Duke at Tulane · ESPN2
Utah at Wyoming · CBSSN
Navy at Tulsa · ESPN+
Akron at UAB · ESPN+
Air Force at Utah State · FS1
Minnesota at California · ESPN
Boston College at Stanford · ACC Network
Texas State at Arizona State · TNT
The rooting list was:USC, then Northwestern, Ohio, Arkansas, Temple.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 3, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 3). How the model works.