๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#15USC Trojans

8โ€“2 ยท 6โ€“1 BIG TEN
In the books
WEEK 13 ยท 2025
The Week 13 recap

USC lost to Oregon. Playoff odds moved from 19% to 9%.

Your game

USC at Oregon
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playoff chanceEntering19%Win60%Loss8%
USC
USC 22%Oregon 78%
Oregon
Final ยท USC 27โ€“42 OregonWent the other way โœ—

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result USC wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
Missouri
at
Oklahoma
Final ยท Missouri 6โ€“17 OklahomaWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.5-point playoff boost

Oklahoma won instead, so USC did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection21% if Missouri won18% with the other result2.5-point differenceUSC playoff chance
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Impact 2
BYU
at
Rooted for
Cincinnati
Final ยท BYU 26โ€“14 CincinnatiWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.4-point playoff boost

BYU won instead, so USC did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection21% if Cincinnati won18% with the other result2.4-point differenceUSC playoff chance
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Impact 3
Miami
at
Rooted for
Virginia Tech
Final ยท Miami 34โ€“17 Virginia TechWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.1-point playoff boost

Miami won instead, so USC did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection21% if Virginia Tech won19% with the other result2.1-point differenceUSC playoff chance
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Impact 4
Rooted for
Arkansas
at
Texas
Final ยท Arkansas 37โ€“52 TexasWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.8-point playoff boost

Texas won instead, so USC did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection21% if Arkansas won19% with the other result1.8-point differenceUSC playoff chance
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Impact 5
Tennessee
at
Rooted for
Florida
Final ยท Tennessee 31โ€“11 FloridaWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.3-point playoff boost

Tennessee won instead, so USC did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection20% if Florida won19% with the other result1.3-point differenceUSC playoff chance
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Impact 6
Rooted for
Kentucky
at
Vanderbilt
Final ยท Kentucky 17โ€“45 VanderbiltWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.3-point playoff boost

Vanderbilt won instead, so USC did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection20% if Kentucky won19% with the other result1.3-point differenceUSC playoff chance
53 other games had little impact
Akron at Bowling Green ยท ESPNU
Massachusetts at Ohio ยท CBSSN
Western Michigan at Northern Illinois ยท ESPN2
Miami (OH) at Buffalo ยท ESPN2
Central Michigan at Kent State ยท ESPNU
Louisiana at Arkansas State ยท ESPN
Florida State at NC State ยท ESPN
Hawai'i at UNLV ยท FS1
Minnesota at Northwestern ยท BTN
Rutgers at Ohio State ยท FOX
Louisville at SMU ยท ESPN2
Delaware at Wake Forest ยท ACC Network
Kansas at Iowa State ยท FS1
Tulsa at Army ยท CBSSN
Charlotte at Georgia ยท SEC Network
Washington State at James Madison ยท ESPN+
Baylor at Arizona ยท TNT
Old Dominion at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN+
Missouri State at Kennesaw State ยท ESPN+
Nevada at Wyoming
Ball State at Toledo ยท ESPN+
Marshall at App State ยท ESPN+
UConn at Florida Atlantic ยท ESPN+
Liberty at Louisiana Tech ยท ESPN+
Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee ยท ESPN+
New Mexico State at UTEP ยท ESPN+
South Florida at UAB ยท ESPN+
Michigan State at Iowa ยท FS1
Duke at North Carolina ยท ACC Network
Syracuse at Notre Dame ยท NBC
Jacksonville State at Florida International ยท CBSSN
Southern Miss at South Alabama ยท ESPN+
East Carolina at UTSA ยท ESPN+
Tulane at Temple ยท ESPNU
Michigan at Maryland ยท BTN
TCU at Houston ยท FOX
Oklahoma State at UCF ยท ESPN+
Kansas State at Utah ยท ESPN2
Georgia State at Troy ยท ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
UL Monroe at Texas State ยท ESPN+
Nebraska at Penn State ยท NBC
Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech ยท ESPN
New Mexico at Air Force ยท CBSSN
Colorado State at Boise State ยท FS1
Illinois at Wisconsin ยท BTN
California at Stanford ยท ACC Network
North Texas at Rice ยท ESPNU
Western Kentucky at LSU ยท SEC Network
Arizona State at Colorado ยท ESPN2
Washington at UCLA ยท NBC
Utah State at Fresno State ยท CBSSN
San Josรฉ State at San Diego State ยท FS1
The rooting list was:USC, then Missouri, Cincinnati, Virginia Tech, Arkansas, Florida, Kentucky.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 13, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 13). How the model works.