๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#20USC Trojans

5โ€“1 ยท 3โ€“1 BIG TEN
In the books
WEEK 8 ยท 2025
The Week 8 recap

USC lost to Notre Dame. Playoff odds moved from 13% to 7%.

Your game

USC at Notre Dame
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playoff chanceEntering13%Win33%Loss11%
USC
USC 11%Notre Dame 89%
Notre Dame
Final ยท USC 24โ€“34 Notre DameWent the other way โœ—

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result USC wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
Michigan State
at
Indiana
Final ยท Michigan State 13โ€“38 IndianaWent the other way โœ—
Projected 13.7-point title-game boost

Indiana won instead, so USC did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection19% if Michigan State won6% with the other result14-point differenceUSC Big Ten title-game chance
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Impact 2
Ohio State
at
Rooted for
Wisconsin
Final ยท Ohio State 34โ€“0 WisconsinWent the other way โœ—
Projected 5.1-point title-game boost

Ohio State won instead, so USC did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection11% if Wisconsin won5% with the other result5.1-point differenceUSC Big Ten title-game chance
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Impact 3
Texas
at
Rooted for
Kentucky
Final ยท Texas 16โ€“13 KentuckyWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.3-point playoff boost

Texas won instead, so USC did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection14% if Kentucky won13% with the other result1.3-point differenceUSC playoff chance
55 other games had little impact
Penn State at Iowa ยท Peacock
Washington at Michigan ยท FOX
New Mexico State at Liberty ยท CBSSN
Arkansas State at South Alabama ยท ESPN2
Florida International at Western Kentucky ยท ESPNU
Delaware at Jacksonville State ยท ESPN2
UTEP at Sam Houston ยท CBSSN
Tulsa at East Carolina ยท ESPN
Louisville at Miami ยท ESPN
Nebraska at Minnesota ยท FOX
San Josรฉ State at Utah State ยท CBSSN
North Carolina at California ยท ESPN
LSU at Vanderbilt ยท ABC
Georgia Tech at Duke ยท ESPN
UConn at Boston College ยท ACC Network
Arizona at Houston ยท FS1
Baylor at TCU ยท ESPN2
Army at Tulane ยท ESPNU
Central Michigan at Bowling Green ยท CBSSN
Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH) ยท ESPN+
Oklahoma at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
West Virginia at UCF ยท TNT
Kent State at Toledo ยท ESPN+
Buffalo at Massachusetts ยท ESPN+
Purdue at Northwestern ยท BTN
Troy at UL Monroe ยท ESPN+
Texas A&M at Arkansas ยท ESPN
Ole Miss at Georgia ยท ABC
SMU at Clemson ยท ACC Network
Wyoming at Air Force ยท CBSSN
UNLV at Boise State ยท FS1
Coastal Carolina at App State ยท ESPN+
Old Dominion at James Madison ยท ESPNU
Texas State at Marshall ยท ESPN+
Temple at Charlotte ยท ESPN+
UTSA at North Texas ยท ESPN+
Akron at Ball State ยท ESPN+
Northern Illinois at Ohio ยท ESPN+
Texas Tech at Arizona State ยท FOX
Memphis at UAB ยท ESPN2
Mississippi State at Florida ยท SEC Network
Southern Miss at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
Oregon at Rutgers ยท BTN
Washington State at Virginia ยท The CW Network
Maryland at UCLA ยท FS1
Hawai'i at Colorado State
Georgia State at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN+
Tennessee at Alabama ยท ABC
Pittsburgh at Syracuse ยท ACC Network
Florida Atlantic at South Florida ยท ESPNU
Missouri at Auburn ยท SEC Network
Utah at BYU ยท FOX
Cincinnati at Oklahoma State ยท ESPN2
Nevada at New Mexico ยท FS1
Florida State at Stanford ยท ESPN
The rooting list was:USC, then Michigan State, Wisconsin, Kentucky.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8). How the model works.