๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#23Memphis Tigers

6โ€“0 ยท 2โ€“0 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
In the books
WEEK 7 ยท 2025
The Week 7 recap

Memphis was off. Playoff odds moved from 33% to 37%.

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Memphis wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
South Florida
at
North Texas
Final ยท South Florida 63โ€“36 North TexasWish granted โœ“
Projected 5.2-point title-game boost

North Texas lost, improving Memphis's place in the American Athletic standings.

Entering-week projection76% if South Florida won71% with the other result5.2-point differenceMemphis American title-game chance
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Impact 2
Navy
at
Rooted for
Temple
Final ยท Navy 32โ€“31 TempleWent the other way โœ—
Projected 3.7-point title-game boost

Navy won instead, so Memphis did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection75% if Temple won72% with the other result3.7-point differenceMemphis American title-game chance
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Impact 3
Rooted for
Air Force
at
UNLV
Final ยท Air Force 48โ€“51 UNLVWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.2-point playoff boost

UNLV won instead, so Memphis did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection35% if Air Force won33% with the other result2.2-point differenceMemphis playoff chance
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Impact 4
Rooted for
UAB
at
Florida Atlantic
Final ยท UAB 33โ€“53 Florida AtlanticWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.8-point playoff boost

Florida Atlantic won instead, so Memphis did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection34% if UAB won32% with the other result1.8-point differenceMemphis playoff chance
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Impact 5
East Carolina
at
Rooted for
Tulane
Final ยท East Carolina 19โ€“26 TulaneWish granted โœ“
Projected 2.7-point title-game boost

East Carolina lost, improving Memphis's place in the American Athletic standings.

Entering-week projection74% if Tulane won71% with the other result2.7-point differenceMemphis American title-game chance
51 other games had little impact
Rice at UTSA ยท ESPNU
Missouri State at Middle Tennessee ยท ESPN2
Liberty at UTEP ยท CBSSN
Louisiana Tech at Kennesaw State ยท ESPNU
Jacksonville State at Sam Houston ยท CBSSN
Southern Miss at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN2
Rutgers at Washington ยท FS1
Fresno State at Colorado State ยท CBSSN
Alabama at Missouri ยท ABC
UCLA at Michigan State ยท BTN
Ohio State at Illinois ยท FOX
Pittsburgh at Florida State ยท ESPN
Stanford at SMU ยท The CW Network
UCF at Cincinnati ยท FS1
Houston at Oklahoma State ยท TNT
Louisiana at James Madison ยท ESPN2
Charlotte at Army ยท CBSSN
Miami (OH) at Akron ยท ESPN+
Toledo at Bowling Green ยท ESPNU
Washington State at Ole Miss ยท SEC Network
Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan ยท ESPN+
Massachusetts at Kent State ยท ESPN+
Oklahoma at Texas ยท ABC
Northwestern at Penn State ยท FS1
Nebraska at Maryland ยท BTN
Indiana at Oregon ยท CBS
Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech ยท ACC Network
NC State at Notre Dame ยท Peacock
Wake Forest at Oregon State ยท The CW Network
Iowa State at Colorado ยท ESPN
TCU at Kansas State ยท FOX
App State at Georgia State ยท ESPN+
Old Dominion at Marshall ยท ESPN+
Ball State at Western Michigan ยท ESPN+
Arkansas at Tennessee ยท SEC Network
Florida at Texas A&M ยท ESPN
Iowa at Wisconsin ยท FS1
San Josรฉ State at Wyoming ยท CBSSN
UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina ยท ESPN+
Georgia at Auburn ยท ABC
Purdue at Minnesota ยท BTN
Michigan at USC ยท NBC
Clemson at Boston College ยท ACC Network
Kansas at Texas Tech ยท FOX
South Carolina at LSU ยท SEC Network
BYU at Arizona ยท ESPN2
Troy at Texas State ยท ESPN+
New Mexico at Boise State ยท FS1
Arizona State at Utah ยท ESPN
San Diego State at Nevada ยท CBSSN
Utah State at Hawai'i
The rooting list was:Memphis is off, then South Florida, Temple, Air Force, UAB, Tulane.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 7). How the model works.