๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

Memphis Tigers

5โ€“0 ยท 1โ€“0 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
In the books
WEEK 6 ยท 2025
The Week 6 recap

Memphis beat Tulsa. Playoff odds moved from 24% to 33%.

Your game

Tulsa at Memphis
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American title-game chanceEntering65%Win65%Loss37%
Tulsa
Tulsa 2%Memphis 98%
Memphis
Final ยท Tulsa 7โ€“45 MemphisWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Memphis wanted
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Impact 1
Charlotte
at
Rooted for
South Florida
Final ยท Charlotte 26โ€“54 South FloridaWish granted โœ“
Projected 1.9-point playoff boost

South Florida won and stayed ranked ahead of its Week 9 game against Memphis.

Entering-week projection25% if South Florida won23% with the other result1.9-point differenceMemphis playoff chance
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Impact 2
Vanderbilt
at
Rooted for
Alabama
Final ยท Vanderbilt 14โ€“30 AlabamaWish granted โœ“
Projected 1.4-point playoff boost

Alabama won, thinning out the at-large competition for Memphis's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection25% if Alabama won23% with the other result1.4-point differenceMemphis playoff chance
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Impact 3
UNLV
at
Rooted for
Wyoming
Final ยท UNLV 31โ€“17 WyomingWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.3-point playoff boost

UNLV won instead, so Memphis did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection25% if Wyoming won24% with the other result1.3-point differenceMemphis playoff chance
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Impact 4
Texas Tech
at
Rooted for
Houston
Final ยท Texas Tech 35โ€“11 HoustonWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.2-point playoff boost

Texas Tech won instead, so Memphis did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection25% if Houston won24% with the other result1.2-point differenceMemphis playoff chance
45 other games had little impact
Sam Houston at New Mexico State ยท CBSSN
Western Kentucky at Delaware ยท CBSSN
New Mexico at San Josรฉ State ยท FS1
West Virginia at BYU ยท ESPN
Colorado State at San Diego State ยท CBSSN
Kentucky at Georgia ยท ABC
Wisconsin at Michigan ยท FOX
Illinois at Purdue ยท BTN
Boston College at Pittsburgh ยท ACC Network
Clemson at North Carolina ยท ESPN
Kansas State at Baylor ยท ESPN+
Iowa State at Cincinnati ยท ESPN2
Air Force at Navy ยท CBS
Army at UAB ยท ESPNU
Ohio at Ball State ยท CBSSN
Wake Forest at Virginia Tech ยท The CW Network
UTSA at Temple ยท ESPN+
Western Michigan at Massachusetts ยท ESPN+
Oklahoma State at Arizona ยท truTV
Texas at Florida ยท ESPN
Penn State at UCLA ยท CBS
Washington at Maryland ยท BTN
UL Monroe at Northwestern ยท BTN
Oregon State at App State ยท ESPN+
Virginia at Louisville ยท ESPN2
Syracuse at SMU ยท ACC Network
Boise State at Notre Dame ยท NBC
Florida International at UConn ยท CBSSN
James Madison at Georgia State ยท ESPN+
Central Michigan at Akron ยท ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Buffalo ยท ESPN+
Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois ยท ESPN+
Kent State at Oklahoma ยท SEC Network
Michigan State at Nebraska ยท FS1
Texas State at Arkansas State ยท ESPNU
Coastal Carolina at Old Dominion ยท ESPN+
South Alabama at Troy ยท ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at Rice ยท ESPN+
Mississippi State at Texas A&M ยท SEC Network
Minnesota at Ohio State ยท NBC
Miami at Florida State ยท ABC
Colorado at TCU ยท FOX
Kansas at UCF ยท ESPN2
Duke at California ยท ESPN
Nevada at Fresno State ยท CBSSN
The rooting list was:Memphis, then South Florida, Alabama, Wyoming, Houston.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 6). How the model works.