๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#9Notre Dame Fighting Irish

0โ€“1 ยท 0โ€“0 FBS INDEPENDENTS
In the books
WEEK 2 ยท 2025
The Week 2 recap

Notre Dame was off. Playoff odds moved from 97% to 97%.

The FBS Independents title is out of reach, so the playoff path runs through an at-large bid.

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Notre Dame wanted
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Impact 1
Georgia Southern
at
Rooted for
USC
Final ยท Georgia Southern 20โ€“59 USCWish granted โœ“
Projected 2.9-point first-round-bye boost

USC won, helping protect Notre Dame's path to a top-four seed and first-round bye.

Entering-week projection63% if USC won60% with the other result2.9-point differenceNotre Dame first-round bye chance
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Impact 2
Rooted for
UL Monroe
at
Alabama
Final ยท UL Monroe 0โ€“73 AlabamaWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.7-point first-round-bye boost

Alabama won instead, so Notre Dame did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection65% if UL Monroe won62% with the other result2.7-point differenceNotre Dame first-round bye chance
48 other games had little impact
James Madison at Louisville ยท ESPN2
Northern Illinois at Maryland ยท BTN
San Josรฉ State at Texas ยท ABC
Florida International at Penn State ยท BTN
Kennesaw State at Indiana ยท FS1
Iowa at Iowa State ยท FOX
Illinois at Duke ยท ESPN
Virginia at NC State ยท ESPN2
Baylor at SMU ยท The CW Network
Central Michigan at Pittsburgh ยท ESPNU
UConn at Syracuse ยท ESPN+
Kent State at Texas Tech ยท TNT
Liberty at Jacksonville State ยท CBSSN
Utah State at Texas A&M ยท SEC Network
Ole Miss at Kentucky ยท ABC
Kansas at Missouri ยท ESPN2
Miami (OH) at Rutgers ยท Peacock
Oklahoma State at Oregon ยท CBS
Fresno State at Oregon State ยท The CW Network
Troy at Clemson ยท ACC Network
Bowling Green at Cincinnati ยท ESPN+
Delaware at Colorado ยท FOX
Texas State at UTSA ยท ESPN+
UAB at Navy ยท CBSSN
North Texas at Western Michigan ยท ESPN+
Middle Tennessee at Wisconsin ยท FS1
West Virginia at Ohio ยท ESPNU
South Florida at Florida ยท SEC Network
Arkansas State at Arkansas ยท ESPN+
Missouri State at Marshall ยท ESPN+
North Carolina at Charlotte ยท ESPN+
Army at Kansas State ยท ESPN
Houston at Rice ยท ESPN+
Western Kentucky at Toledo ยท ESPN+
Memphis at Georgia State ยท ESPN+
Tulane at South Alabama ยท ESPN+
Ball State at Auburn ยท ESPNU
Louisiana Tech at LSU ยท ESPN+
Arizona State at Mississippi State ยท ESPN2
Michigan at Oklahoma ยท ABC
Vanderbilt at Virginia Tech ยท ACC Network
Akron at Nebraska ยท BTN
Boston College at Michigan State ยท NBC
UCLA at UNLV ยท CBSSN
Tulsa at New Mexico State ยท ESPN+
San Diego State at Washington State ยท The CW Network
Stanford at BYU ยท ESPN
Sam Houston at Hawai'i
The rooting list was:Notre Dame is off, then USC, UL Monroe.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 2, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 2). How the model works.