🏈 Fan Watch

#12Notre Dame Fighting Irish

5–2 · 0–0 FBS INDEPENDENTS
In the books
WEEK 10 · 2025
The Week 10 recap

Notre Dame beat Boston College. Playoff odds moved from 71% to 71%.

The FBS Independents title is out of reach, so the playoff path runs through an at-large bid.

Your game

Notre Dame at Boston College
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ESPN
playoff chanceEntering71%Win71%Loss23%
Notre Dame
Notre Dame 99%Boston College 1%
Boston College
Final · Notre Dame 25–10 Boston CollegeWish granted ✓

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Notre Dame wanted
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ESPN2
Impact 1
Georgia Tech
at
Rooted for
NC State
Final · Georgia Tech 36–48 NC StateWish granted ✓
Projected 2.8-point playoff boost

NC State won, making Notre Dame's earlier win over them look better.

Entering-week projection73% if NC State won70% with the other result2.8-point differenceNotre Dame playoff chance
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ESPN
Impact 2
Rooted for
South Carolina
at
Ole Miss
Final · South Carolina 14–30 Ole MissWent the other way ✗
Projected 2.7-point playoff boost

Ole Miss won instead, so Notre Dame did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection73% if South Carolina won71% with the other result2.7-point differenceNotre Dame playoff chance
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ABC
Impact 3
Georgia
at
Rooted for
Florida
Final · Georgia 24–20 FloridaWent the other way ✗
Projected 1.8-point playoff boost

Georgia won instead, so Notre Dame did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection72% if Florida won71% with the other result1.8-point differenceNotre Dame playoff chance
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FOX
Impact 4
Penn State
at
Rooted for
Ohio State
Final · Penn State 14–38 Ohio StateWish granted ✓
Projected 1.7-point playoff boost

Ohio State won, thinning out the at-large competition for Notre Dame's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection71% if Ohio State won70% with the other result1.7-point differenceNotre Dame playoff chance
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ABC
Impact 5
Rooted for
Oklahoma
at
Tennessee
Final · Oklahoma 33–27 TennesseeWish granted ✓
Projected 1.7-point playoff boost

Oklahoma won, thinning out the at-large competition for Notre Dame's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection72% if Oklahoma won70% with the other result1.7-point differenceNotre Dame playoff chance
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ABC
Impact 6
Vanderbilt
at
Rooted for
Texas
Final · Vanderbilt 31–34 TexasWish granted ✓
Projected 1.7-point playoff boost

Texas won, thinning out the at-large competition for Notre Dame's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection71% if Texas won70% with the other result1.7-point differenceNotre Dame playoff chance
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The CW Network
Impact 7
Louisville
at
Rooted for
Virginia Tech
Final · Louisville 28–16 Virginia TechWent the other way ✗
Projected 1.7-point playoff boost

Louisville won instead, so Notre Dame did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection72% if Virginia Tech won70% with the other result1.7-point differenceNotre Dame playoff chance
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ESPN
Impact 8
Cincinnati
at
Rooted for
Utah
Final · Cincinnati 14–45 UtahWish granted ✓
Projected 1.6-point playoff boost

Utah won, thinning out the at-large competition for Notre Dame's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection71% if Utah won69% with the other result1.6-point differenceNotre Dame playoff chance
43 other games had little impact
USC at Nebraska · NBC
Virginia at California · ESPN2
Indiana at Maryland · CBS
UTEP at Kennesaw State · ESPNU
James Madison at Texas State · ESPN2
Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee · ESPN2
Florida International at Missouri State · CBSSN
Marshall at Coastal Carolina · ESPN2
Tulane at UTSA · ESPN
Memphis at Rice · ESPN2
North Carolina at Syracuse · ESPN
Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech · CBSSN
Rutgers at Illinois · NBC
Duke at Clemson · ACC Network
Miami at SMU · ESPN
UCF at Baylor · ESPNU
West Virginia at Houston · FS1
UAB at UConn · CBSSN
Army at Air Force · CBS
Navy at North Texas · ESPN2
Buffalo at Bowling Green · ESPN+
Arizona State at Iowa State · TNT
East Carolina at Temple · ESPN+
New Mexico at UNLV
Michigan State at Minnesota · BTN
Pittsburgh at Stanford · ACC Network
Texas Tech at Kansas State · FOX
Delaware at Liberty · CBSSN
New Mexico State at Western Kentucky · ESPN+
Fresno State at Boise State · FS1
Old Dominion at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Louisiana at South Alabama · ESPN+
Mississippi State at Arkansas · SEC Network
Oklahoma State at Kansas · ESPN+
Central Michigan at Western Michigan · ESPNU
Purdue at Michigan · BTN
Arizona at Colorado · FS1
Wyoming at San Diego State · CBSSN
Kentucky at Auburn · SEC Network
Washington State at Oregon State · CBS
Wake Forest at Florida State · ACC Network
Arkansas State at Troy · ESPNU
Hawai'i at San José State · CBSSN
The rooting list was:Notre Dame, then NC State, South Carolina, Florida, Ohio State, Oklahoma, Texas, Virginia Tech, Utah.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 10, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 10). How the model works.