#9Notre Dame Fighting Irish
7–2 · 0–0 FBS INDEPENDENTS
In the books
WEEK 12 · 2025
0%
Independent title game
0%
Win the Independent
98%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 8.4
The FBS Independents title is out of reach — the playoff path runs through an at-large bid.
How the week went: playoff odds 98% → 98%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Notre Dame's pathYour game
…
… · ABC
#9 Notre Dame at #22 Pittsburgh
Your game. Beat Pittsburgh and your playoff odds are >99%; lose and they drop to 77%. A win all but locks up your spot.
Final · Notre Dame 37–15 PittsburghWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN
Florida at #7 Ole Miss
Seeding watch: Florida winning moves you from around the 8th seed toward the 8th — a friendlier bracket.
Final · Florida 24–34 Ole MissWent the other way ✗
Root for Florida≈0.8 seed lines
…
… · FOX
Minnesota at #8 Oregon
Seeding watch: Minnesota winning moves you from around the 8th seed toward the 8th — a friendlier bracket.
Final · Minnesota 13–42 OregonWent the other way ✗
Root for Minnesota≈0.5 seed lines
…
… · ABC
#11 Oklahoma at #4 Alabama
Alabama winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Oklahoma 23–21 AlabamaWent the other way ✗
Root for Alabama+2.0 pp playoff odds
…
… · FOX
UCF at #6 Texas Tech
Seeding watch: UCF winning moves you from around the 8th seed toward the 8th — a friendlier bracket.
Final · UCF 9–48 Texas TechWent the other way ✗
Root for UCF≈0.3 seed lines
…
… · ABC
#10 Texas at #5 Georgia
Georgia winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Texas 10–35 GeorgiaWish granted ✓
Root for Georgia+1.2 pp playoff odds
52 more games that don't move your needle
Kent State at Akron · ESPNU
Ohio at Western Michigan · ESPN2
Buffalo at Central Michigan · CBSSN
Northern Illinois at Massachusetts · ESPNU
Toledo at Miami (OH) · ESPN2
Troy at Old Dominion · ESPN
Clemson at Louisville · ESPN
South Carolina at Texas A&M · ESPN
Wisconsin at Indiana · BTN
Michigan at Northwestern · FOX
Arizona at Cincinnati · FS1
Kansas State at Oklahoma State · ESPNU
Air Force at UConn · CBSSN
UTSA at Charlotte · ESPN+
South Florida at Navy · ESPN2
Eastern Michigan at Ball State · ESPN+
Arkansas at LSU · SEC Network
Oregon State at Tulsa · The CW Network
West Virginia at Arizona State · truTV
Marshall at Georgia State · ESPN+
North Texas at UAB · ESPN+
UTEP at Missouri State · ESPN+
Colorado State at New Mexico
Penn State at Michigan State · CBS
Maryland at Illinois · FS1
Iowa at USC · BTN
Georgia Tech at Boston College · ACC Network
Virginia at Duke · ESPN2
NC State at Miami · ESPN
Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky · ESPN+
San José State at Nevada · CBSSN
App State at James Madison · ESPN+
South Alabama at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Texas State at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Memphis at East Carolina · ESPNU
Florida Atlantic at Tulane · ESPN+
New Mexico State at Tennessee · SEC Network
North Carolina at Wake Forest · The CW Network
Liberty at Florida International · ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
Purdue at Washington · FS1
Utah at Baylor · ESPN2
Delaware at Sam Houston · ESPN+
Utah State at UNLV · CBSSN
UCLA at Ohio State · NBC
Virginia Tech at Florida State · ACC Network
Mississippi State at Missouri · SEC Network
Kennesaw State at Jacksonville State · ESPNU
Louisiana Tech at Washington State · The CW Network
TCU at BYU · ESPN
Boise State at San Diego State · CBSSN
Wyoming at Fresno State · FS1
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 12, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 12).