#9Notre Dame Fighting Irish
9–2 · 0–0 FBS INDEPENDENTS
In the books
WEEK 14 · 2025
0%
Independent title game
0%
Win the Independent
95%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 8.7
The FBS Independents title is out of reach — the playoff path runs through an at-large bid.
How the week went: playoff odds 95% → 93%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Notre Dame's pathYour game
…
… · ESPN
#9 Notre Dame at Stanford
Your game. Beat Stanford and your playoff odds are 95%; lose and they drop to 75%.
Final · Notre Dame 49–20 StanfordWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · ESPN
#5 Texas Tech at West Virginia
Texas Tech winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Texas Tech 49–0 West VirginiaWish granted ✓
Root for Texas Tech+9.9 pp playoff odds
…
… · ABC
LSU at #8 Oklahoma
LSU winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · LSU 13–17 OklahomaWent the other way ✗
Root for LSU+6.4 pp playoff odds
…
… · ABC
#10 Alabama at Auburn
Auburn winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Alabama 27–20 AuburnWent the other way ✗
Root for Auburn+6.2 pp playoff odds
…
… · CBS
#6 Oregon at Washington
Washington winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Oregon 26–14 WashingtonWent the other way ✗
Root for Washington+6.0 pp playoff odds
…
… · ABC
#7 Ole Miss at Mississippi State
Mississippi State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Ole Miss 38–19 Mississippi StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Mississippi State+5.4 pp playoff odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ABC
#3 Texas A&M at #16 Texas
Texas A&M losing softens the sting of your loss to them.
Final · Texas A&M 17–27 TexasWish granted ✓
Root for Texas+1.9 pp playoff odds
60 more games that don't move your needle
Bowling Green at Massachusetts · ESPNU
Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan · ESPN2
Navy at Memphis · ESPN
Iowa at Nebraska · CBS
Utah at Kansas · ESPN
Ohio at Buffalo · ESPNU
Kent State at Northern Illinois · CBSSN
Air Force at Colorado State · FS1
Georgia at Georgia Tech · ABC
San Diego State at New Mexico · CBSSN
Temple at North Texas · ESPN
Boise State at Utah State · CBS
Indiana at Purdue · NBC
Arizona at Arizona State · FOX
Kentucky at Louisville · ACC Network
Clemson at South Carolina · SEC Network
Ohio State at Michigan · FOX
Miami at Pittsburgh · ABC
Houston at Baylor · TNT
Colorado at Kansas State · FS1
Iowa State at Oklahoma State · ESPNU
East Carolina at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Toledo at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Ball State at Miami (OH) · CBSSN
UCF at BYU · ESPN2
UTEP at Delaware · ESPN+
Florida International at Sam Houston · ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Marshall · ESPN+
Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State · ESPN+
Louisiana Tech at Missouri State · ESPN+
Georgia State at Old Dominion · ESPN+
Arkansas State at App State · ESPN+
Boston College at Syracuse · The CW Network
Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State · ESPN+
UL Monroe at Louisiana · ESPN+
South Alabama at Texas State · ESPN+
UAB at Tulsa · ESPN+
Missouri at Arkansas · SEC Network
Vanderbilt at Tennessee · ESPN
Wisconsin at Minnesota · FS1
Penn State at Rutgers · BTN
Wake Forest at Duke · ACC Network
Cincinnati at TCU · FOX
Kennesaw State at Liberty · CBSSN
Troy at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Army at UTSA · ESPN+
James Madison at Coastal Carolina · ESPNU
Florida State at Florida · ESPN2
Oregon State at Washington State · The CW Network
Maryland at Michigan State · FS1
Virginia Tech at Virginia · ESPN
Rice at South Florida · ESPN+
UCLA at USC · NBC
Northwestern at Illinois · FOX
North Carolina at NC State · ACC Network
Charlotte at Tulane · ESPNU
SMU at California · ESPN2
UNLV at Nevada · CBSSN
Fresno State at San José State · FS1
Wyoming at Hawai'i
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 14, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 14).