๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#6Notre Dame Fighting Irish

0โ€“0 ยท 0โ€“0 FBS INDEPENDENTS
In the books
WEEK 1 ยท 2025
The Week 1 recap

Notre Dame lost to Miami. Playoff odds moved from 98% to 97%.

The FBS Independents title is out of reach, so the playoff path runs through an at-large bid.

Your game

Notre Dame at Miami
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first-round bye chanceEntering76%Win80%Loss50%
Notre Dame
Notre Dame 87%Miami 13%
Miami
Final ยท Notre Dame 24โ€“27 MiamiWent the other way โœ—

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Notre Dame wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
Marshall
at
Georgia
Final ยท Marshall 7โ€“45 GeorgiaWent the other way โœ—
Projected 3.5-point first-round-bye boost

Georgia won instead, so Notre Dame did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection79% if Marshall won76% with the other result3.5-point differenceNotre Dame first-round bye chance
46 other games had little impact
Iowa State at Kansas State ยท ESPN
Fresno State at Kansas ยท FOX
Sam Houston at Western Kentucky ยท CBSSN
Stanford at Hawai'i ยท CBS
Boise State at South Florida ยท ESPN
Ohio at Rutgers ยท BTN
East Carolina at NC State ยท ACC Network
Jacksonville State at UCF ยท ESPN+
Wyoming at Akron ยท ESPN+
Buffalo at Minnesota ยท FS1
Nebraska at Cincinnati ยท ESPN
Miami (OH) at Wisconsin ยท BTN
Western Michigan at Michigan State ยท FS1
Kennesaw State at Wake Forest ยท ACC Network
App State at Charlotte ยท ESPNU
Auburn at Baylor ยท FOX
Georgia Tech at Colorado ยท ESPN
UNLV at Sam Houston ยท CBSSN
Central Michigan at San Josรฉ State ยท FS1
Mississippi State at Southern Miss ยท ESPN
Syracuse at Tennessee ยท ABC
Texas at Ohio State ยท FOX
Florida Atlantic at Maryland ยท BTN
Ball State at Purdue ยท BTN
Northwestern at Tulane ยท ESPNU
Toledo at Kentucky ยท SEC Network
Old Dominion at Indiana ยท FS1
Alabama at Florida State ยท ABC
Nevada at Penn State ยท CBS
Temple at Massachusetts ยท ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at Virginia ยท ACC Network
UTSA at Texas A&M ยท ESPN
LSU at Clemson ยท ABC
Missouri State at USC ยท BTN
New Mexico at Michigan ยท NBC
UTEP at Utah State ยท CBSSN
Georgia State at Ole Miss ยท SEC Network
Rice at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Texas State ยท ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Fresno State ยท FS1
California at Oregon State ยท ESPN
Hawai'i at Arizona ยท TNT
Utah at UCLA ยท FOX
Colorado State at Washington ยท BTN
Virginia Tech at South Carolina ยท ESPN
TCU at North Carolina ยท ESPN
The rooting list was:Notre Dame, then Marshall.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 1, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 1). How the model works.