🏈 Fan Watch

#9Miami Hurricanes

5–1 · 1–1 ACC
In the books
WEEK 9 · 2025
The Week 9 recap

Miami beat Stanford. Playoff odds moved from 57% to 47%.

Your game

Stanford at Miami
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ESPN
playoff chanceEntering57%Win57%Loss31%
Stanford
Stanford 3%Miami 97%
Miami
Final · Stanford 7–42 MiamiWish granted ✓

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Miami wanted
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ESPN
Impact 1
Rooted for
Syracuse
at
Georgia Tech
Final · Syracuse 16–41 Georgia TechWent the other way ✗
Projected 7.7-point title-game boost

Georgia Tech won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection33% if Syracuse won25% with the other result7.7-point differenceMiami ACC title-game chance
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ACC Network
Impact 2
Virginia
at
Rooted for
North Carolina
Final · Virginia 17–16 North CarolinaWent the other way ✗
Projected 5.6-point title-game boost

Virginia won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection31% if North Carolina won25% with the other result5.6-point differenceMiami ACC title-game chance
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FOX
Impact 3
Rooted for
UCLA
at
Indiana
Final · UCLA 6–56 IndianaWent the other way ✗
Projected 3.9-point first-round-bye boost

Indiana won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection20% if UCLA won16% with the other result3.9-point differenceMiami first-round bye chance
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CBSSN
Impact 4
Rooted for
Florida Atlantic
at
Navy
Final · Florida Atlantic 32–42 NavyWent the other way ✗
Projected 1.9-point playoff boost

Navy won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection58% if Florida Atlantic won56% with the other result1.9-point differenceMiami playoff chance
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ACC Network
Impact 5
Rooted for
Boston College
at
Louisville
Final · Boston College 24–38 LouisvilleWent the other way ✗
Projected 2.9-point title-game boost

Louisville won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection29% if Boston College won27% with the other result2.9-point differenceMiami ACC title-game chance
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ABC
Impact 6
Texas A&M
at
Rooted for
LSU
Final · Texas A&M 49–25 LSUWent the other way ✗
Projected 1.8-point playoff boost

Texas A&M won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection57% if LSU won56% with the other result1.8-point differenceMiami playoff chance
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ESPN2
Impact 7
Rooted for
Middle Tennessee
at
Delaware
Final · Middle Tennessee 28–31 DelawareWent the other way ✗
Projected 1.8-point playoff boost

Delaware won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection58% if Middle Tennessee won56% with the other result1.8-point differenceMiami playoff chance
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ESPN
Impact 8
California
at
Rooted for
Virginia Tech
Final · California 34–42 Virginia TechWish granted ✓
Projected 2.6-point title-game boost

California lost, improving Miami's place in the ACC standings.

Entering-week projection28% if Virginia Tech won25% with the other result2.6-point differenceMiami ACC title-game chance
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ESPN+
Impact 9
Rooted for
Western Michigan
at
Miami (OH)
Final · Western Michigan 17–26 Miami (OH)Went the other way ✗
Projected 1.4-point playoff boost

Miami (OH) won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection58% if Western Michigan won56% with the other result1.4-point differenceMiami playoff chance
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The CW Network
Impact 10
Rooted for
SMU
at
Wake Forest
Final · SMU 12–13 Wake ForestWent the other way ✗
Projected 1.4-point playoff boost

Wake Forest won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection57% if SMU won56% with the other result1.4-point differenceMiami playoff chance
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CBSSN
Impact 11
Colorado State
at
Rooted for
Wyoming
Final · Colorado State 0–28 WyomingWish granted ✓
Projected 1.3-point playoff boost

Wyoming won, thinning out the at-large competition for Miami's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection57% if Wyoming won56% with the other result1.3-point differenceMiami playoff chance
41 other games had little impact
Missouri at Vanderbilt · ESPN
Alabama at South Carolina · ABC
Ole Miss at Oklahoma · ABC
Kennesaw State at Florida International · ESPNU
Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech · CBSSN
Missouri State at New Mexico State · CBSSN
South Alabama at Georgia State · ESPN2
North Texas at Charlotte · ESPN2
Boise State at Nevada · CBSSN
Northwestern at Nebraska · FS1
Rutgers at Purdue · BTN
Kansas State at Kansas · TNT
App State at Old Dominion · ESPNU
South Florida at Memphis · ESPN2
Bowling Green at Kent State · ESPN+
Ohio at Eastern Michigan · CBSSN
Auburn at Arkansas · SEC Network
Akron at Buffalo · ESPN+
UConn at Rice · ESPN+
Utah State at New Mexico
Illinois at Washington · BTN
Minnesota at Iowa · CBS
Toledo at Washington State · The CW Network
NC State at Pittsburgh · ACC Network
BYU at Iowa State · FOX
San Diego State at Fresno State · FS1
UL Monroe at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Temple at Tulsa · ESPN+
Ball State at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Massachusetts at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Baylor at Cincinnati · ESPN2
Oklahoma State at Texas Tech · ESPNU
Texas at Mississippi State · SEC Network
TCU at West Virginia · ESPN+
Wisconsin at Oregon · FS1
Georgia Southern at Arkansas State · ESPN+
Louisiana at Troy · ESPN+
Michigan at Michigan State · NBC
Tennessee at Kentucky · SEC Network
Houston at Arizona State · ESPN2
Colorado at Utah · ESPN
The rooting list was:Miami, then Syracuse, North Carolina, UCLA, Florida Atlantic, Boston College, LSU, Middle Tennessee, Virginia Tech, Western Michigan, SMU, Wyoming.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 9, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 9). How the model works.