🏈 Fan Watch

#13Miami Hurricanes

82 · 42 ACC
In the books
WEEK 13 · 2025
The Week 13 recap

Miami beat Virginia Tech. Playoff odds moved from 39% to 33%.

Your game

Miami at Virginia Tech
playoff chanceEntering39%Win42%Loss6%
Miami
Miami 91%Virginia Tech 9%
Virginia Tech
Final · Miami 3417 Virginia TechWish granted ✓

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Miami wanted
Impact 1
Rooted for
Pittsburgh
at
Georgia Tech
Final · Pittsburgh 4228 Georgia TechWish granted ✓
Projected 14.9-point title-game boost

Georgia Tech lost, improving Miami's place in the ACC standings.

Entering-week projection16% if Pittsburgh won1% with the other result15-point differenceMiami ACC title-game chance
Impact 2
Rooted for
Syracuse
at
Notre Dame
Final · Syracuse 770 Notre DameWent the other way ✗
Projected 8.4-point playoff boost

Notre Dame won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection47% if Syracuse won39% with the other result8.4-point differenceMiami playoff chance
Impact 3
Rooted for
Louisville
at
SMU
Final · Louisville 638 SMUWent the other way ✗
Projected 11.8-point title-game boost

SMU won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection17% if Louisville won5% with the other result12-point differenceMiami ACC title-game chance
Impact 4
Duke
at
Rooted for
North Carolina
Final · Duke 3225 North CarolinaWent the other way ✗
Projected 9.9-point title-game boost

Duke won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection15% if North Carolina won5% with the other result9.9-point differenceMiami ACC title-game chance
Impact 5
Rooted for
Kansas State
at
Utah
Final · Kansas State 4751 UtahWent the other way ✗
Projected 3.8-point playoff boost

Utah won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection42% if Kansas State won38% with the other result3.8-point differenceMiami playoff chance
Impact 6
Rooted for
Missouri
at
Oklahoma
Final · Missouri 617 OklahomaWent the other way ✗
Projected 3.7-point playoff boost

Oklahoma won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection41% if Missouri won38% with the other result3.7-point differenceMiami playoff chance
Impact 7
Rooted for
Kentucky
at
Vanderbilt
Final · Kentucky 1745 VanderbiltWent the other way ✗
Projected 2.3-point playoff boost

Vanderbilt won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection41% if Kentucky won38% with the other result2.3-point differenceMiami playoff chance
Impact 8
California
at
Rooted for
Stanford
Final · California 1031 StanfordWish granted ✓
Projected 3.5-point title-game boost

California lost, improving Miami's place in the ACC standings.

Entering-week projection10% if Stanford won7% with the other result3.5-point differenceMiami ACC title-game chance
Impact 9
BYU
at
Rooted for
Cincinnati
Final · BYU 2614 CincinnatiWent the other way ✗
Projected 1.4-point playoff boost

BYU won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection40% if Cincinnati won38% with the other result1.4-point differenceMiami playoff chance
50 other games had little impact
Akron at Bowling Green · ESPNU
Massachusetts at Ohio · CBSSN
Western Michigan at Northern Illinois · ESPN2
Miami (OH) at Buffalo · ESPN2
Central Michigan at Kent State · ESPNU
Louisiana at Arkansas State · ESPN
Florida State at NC State · ESPN
Hawai'i at UNLV · FS1
Minnesota at Northwestern · BTN
Rutgers at Ohio State · FOX
Delaware at Wake Forest · ACC Network
Kansas at Iowa State · FS1
Tulsa at Army · CBSSN
Charlotte at Georgia · SEC Network
Washington State at James Madison · ESPN+
Baylor at Arizona · TNT
Old Dominion at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
Missouri State at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
Nevada at Wyoming
Ball State at Toledo · ESPN+
Marshall at App State · ESPN+
UConn at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Liberty at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
New Mexico State at UTEP · ESPN+
South Florida at UAB · ESPN+
Arkansas at Texas · ABC
USC at Oregon · CBS
Michigan State at Iowa · FS1
Jacksonville State at Florida International · CBSSN
Southern Miss at South Alabama · ESPN+
East Carolina at UTSA · ESPN+
Tulane at Temple · ESPNU
Michigan at Maryland · BTN
TCU at Houston · FOX
Oklahoma State at UCF · ESPN+
Georgia State at Troy · ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at South Carolina · SEC Network
UL Monroe at Texas State · ESPN+
Nebraska at Penn State · NBC
New Mexico at Air Force · CBSSN
Colorado State at Boise State · FS1
Tennessee at Florida · ABC
Illinois at Wisconsin · BTN
North Texas at Rice · ESPNU
Western Kentucky at LSU · SEC Network
Arizona State at Colorado · ESPN2
Washington at UCLA · NBC
Utah State at Fresno State · CBSSN
San José State at San Diego State · FS1
The rooting list was:Miami, then Pittsburgh, Syracuse, Louisville, North Carolina, Kansas State, Missouri, Kentucky, Stanford, Cincinnati.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 13, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 13). How the model works.