๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#10Miami Hurricanes

0โ€“0 ยท 0โ€“0 ACC
In the books
WEEK 1 ยท 2025
The Week 1 recap

Miami beat Notre Dame. Playoff odds moved from 34% to 51%.

Your game

Notre Dame at Miami
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playoff chanceEntering34%Win46%Loss33%
Notre Dame
Notre Dame 87%Miami 13%
Miami
Final ยท Notre Dame 24โ€“27 MiamiWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Miami wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
Georgia State
at
Ole Miss
Final ยท Georgia State 7โ€“63 Ole MissWent the other way โœ—
Projected 5.9-point playoff boost

Ole Miss won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection40% if Georgia State won34% with the other result5.9-point differenceMiami playoff chance
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Impact 2
Alabama
at
Rooted for
Florida State
Final ยท Alabama 17โ€“31 Florida StateWish granted โœ“
Projected 1.5-point playoff boost

Florida State won and stayed ranked ahead of its Week 6 game against Miami.

Entering-week projection35% if Florida State won34% with the other result1.5-point differenceMiami playoff chance
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Impact 3
Rooted for
Virginia Tech
at
South Carolina
Final ยท Virginia Tech 11โ€“24 South CarolinaWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.2-point playoff boost

South Carolina won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection35% if Virginia Tech won34% with the other result1.2-point differenceMiami playoff chance
44 other games had little impact
Iowa State at Kansas State ยท ESPN
Fresno State at Kansas ยท FOX
Sam Houston at Western Kentucky ยท CBSSN
Stanford at Hawai'i ยท CBS
Boise State at South Florida ยท ESPN
Ohio at Rutgers ยท BTN
East Carolina at NC State ยท ACC Network
Jacksonville State at UCF ยท ESPN+
Wyoming at Akron ยท ESPN+
Buffalo at Minnesota ยท FS1
Nebraska at Cincinnati ยท ESPN
Miami (OH) at Wisconsin ยท BTN
Western Michigan at Michigan State ยท FS1
Kennesaw State at Wake Forest ยท ACC Network
App State at Charlotte ยท ESPNU
Auburn at Baylor ยท FOX
Georgia Tech at Colorado ยท ESPN
UNLV at Sam Houston ยท CBSSN
Central Michigan at San Josรฉ State ยท FS1
Mississippi State at Southern Miss ยท ESPN
Syracuse at Tennessee ยท ABC
Texas at Ohio State ยท FOX
Florida Atlantic at Maryland ยท BTN
Ball State at Purdue ยท BTN
Northwestern at Tulane ยท ESPNU
Toledo at Kentucky ยท SEC Network
Old Dominion at Indiana ยท FS1
Marshall at Georgia ยท ESPN
Nevada at Penn State ยท CBS
Temple at Massachusetts ยท ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at Virginia ยท ACC Network
UTSA at Texas A&M ยท ESPN
LSU at Clemson ยท ABC
Missouri State at USC ยท BTN
New Mexico at Michigan ยท NBC
UTEP at Utah State ยท CBSSN
Rice at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Texas State ยท ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Fresno State ยท FS1
California at Oregon State ยท ESPN
Hawai'i at Arizona ยท TNT
Utah at UCLA ยท FOX
Colorado State at Washington ยท BTN
TCU at North Carolina ยท ESPN
The rooting list was:Miami, then Georgia State, Florida State, Virginia Tech.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 1, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 1). How the model works.