🏈 Fan Watch

#12Miami Hurricanes

9–2 · 5–2 ACC
In the books
WEEK 14 · 2025
The Week 14 recap

Miami beat Pittsburgh. Playoff odds moved from 33% to 42%.

Your game

Miami at Pittsburgh
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ABC
playoff chanceEntering33%Win48%Loss3%
Miami
Miami 68%Pittsburgh 32%
Pittsburgh
Final · Miami 38–7 PittsburghWish granted ✓

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Miami wanted
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ESPN
Impact 1
Rooted for
Virginia Tech
at
Virginia
Final · Virginia Tech 7–27 VirginiaWent the other way ✗
Projected 55.8-point title-game boost

Virginia won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection57% if Virginia Tech won2% with the other result56-point differenceMiami ACC title-game chance
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ESPN2
Impact 2
SMU
at
Rooted for
California
Final · SMU 35–38 CaliforniaWish granted ✓
Projected 14.3-point title-game boost

SMU lost, improving Miami's place in the ACC standings.

Entering-week projection25% if California won10% with the other result14-point differenceMiami ACC title-game chance
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ESPN
Impact 3
Notre Dame
at
Rooted for
Stanford
Final · Notre Dame 49–20 StanfordWent the other way ✗
Projected 7.0-point playoff boost

Notre Dame won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection40% if Stanford won33% with the other result7-point differenceMiami playoff chance
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ACC Network
Impact 4
North Carolina
at
Rooted for
NC State
Final · North Carolina 19–42 NC StateWish granted ✓
Projected 9.5-point title-game boost

North Carolina lost, improving Miami's place in the ACC standings.

Entering-week projection14% if NC State won4% with the other result9.5-point differenceMiami ACC title-game chance
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ABC
Impact 5
Rooted for
LSU
at
Oklahoma
Final · LSU 13–17 OklahomaWent the other way ✗
Projected 5.4-point playoff boost

Oklahoma won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection37% if LSU won32% with the other result5.4-point differenceMiami playoff chance
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ABC
Impact 6
Alabama
at
Rooted for
Auburn
Final · Alabama 27–20 AuburnWent the other way ✗
Projected 5.1-point playoff boost

Alabama won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection37% if Auburn won32% with the other result5.1-point differenceMiami playoff chance
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ACC Network
Impact 7
Rooted for
Wake Forest
at
Duke
Final · Wake Forest 32–49 DukeWent the other way ✗
Projected 6.3-point title-game boost

Duke won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection16% if Wake Forest won9% with the other result6.3-point differenceMiami ACC title-game chance
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CBS
Impact 8
Oregon
at
Rooted for
Washington
Final · Oregon 26–14 WashingtonWent the other way ✗
Projected 4.0-point playoff boost

Oregon won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection36% if Washington won32% with the other result4-point differenceMiami playoff chance
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ABC
Impact 9
Ole Miss
at
Rooted for
Mississippi State
Final · Ole Miss 38–19 Mississippi StateWent the other way ✗
Projected 3.7-point playoff boost

Ole Miss won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection37% if Mississippi State won33% with the other result3.7-point differenceMiami playoff chance
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ESPN
Impact 10
Vanderbilt
at
Rooted for
Tennessee
Final · Vanderbilt 45–24 TennesseeWent the other way ✗
Projected 3.0-point playoff boost

Vanderbilt won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection34% if Tennessee won31% with the other result3-point differenceMiami playoff chance
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ESPN
Impact 11
Utah
at
Rooted for
Kansas
Final · Utah 31–21 KansasWent the other way ✗
Projected 2.2-point playoff boost

Utah won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection35% if Kansas won33% with the other result2.2-point differenceMiami playoff chance
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FOX
Impact 12
Rooted for
Ohio State
at
Michigan
Final · Ohio State 27–9 MichiganWish granted ✓
Projected 2.2-point playoff boost

Ohio State won, thinning out the at-large competition for Miami's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection34% if Ohio State won32% with the other result2.2-point differenceMiami playoff chance
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ESPN2
Impact 13
Rooted for
UCF
at
BYU
Final · UCF 21–41 BYUWent the other way ✗
Projected 2.0-point playoff boost

BYU won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection35% if UCF won33% with the other result2-point differenceMiami playoff chance
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ABC
Impact 14
Rooted for
Texas A&M
at
Texas
Final · Texas A&M 17–27 TexasWent the other way ✗
Projected 1.7-point playoff boost

Texas won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection34% if Texas A&M won33% with the other result1.7-point differenceMiami playoff chance
52 other games had little impact
Bowling Green at Massachusetts · ESPNU
Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan · ESPN2
Navy at Memphis · ESPN
Iowa at Nebraska · CBS
Ohio at Buffalo · ESPNU
Kent State at Northern Illinois · CBSSN
Air Force at Colorado State · FS1
Georgia at Georgia Tech · ABC
San Diego State at New Mexico · CBSSN
Temple at North Texas · ESPN
Boise State at Utah State · CBS
Indiana at Purdue · NBC
Arizona at Arizona State · FOX
Kentucky at Louisville · ACC Network
Clemson at South Carolina · SEC Network
Houston at Baylor · TNT
Colorado at Kansas State · FS1
Iowa State at Oklahoma State · ESPNU
Texas Tech at West Virginia · ESPN
East Carolina at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Toledo at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Ball State at Miami (OH) · CBSSN
UTEP at Delaware · ESPN+
Florida International at Sam Houston · ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Marshall · ESPN+
Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State · ESPN+
Louisiana Tech at Missouri State · ESPN+
Georgia State at Old Dominion · ESPN+
Arkansas State at App State · ESPN+
Boston College at Syracuse · The CW Network
Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State · ESPN+
UL Monroe at Louisiana · ESPN+
South Alabama at Texas State · ESPN+
UAB at Tulsa · ESPN+
Missouri at Arkansas · SEC Network
Wisconsin at Minnesota · FS1
Penn State at Rutgers · BTN
Cincinnati at TCU · FOX
Kennesaw State at Liberty · CBSSN
Troy at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Army at UTSA · ESPN+
James Madison at Coastal Carolina · ESPNU
Florida State at Florida · ESPN2
Oregon State at Washington State · The CW Network
Maryland at Michigan State · FS1
Rice at South Florida · ESPN+
UCLA at USC · NBC
Northwestern at Illinois · FOX
Charlotte at Tulane · ESPNU
UNLV at Nevada · CBSSN
Fresno State at San José State · FS1
Wyoming at Hawai'i
The rooting list was:Miami, then Virginia Tech, California, Stanford, NC State, LSU, Auburn, Wake Forest, Washington, Mississippi State, Tennessee, Kansas, Ohio State, UCF, Texas A&M.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 14, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 14). How the model works.