๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#2Miami Hurricanes

5โ€“0 ยท 1โ€“0 ACC
In the books
WEEK 8 ยท 2025
The Week 8 recap

Miami lost to Louisville. Playoff odds moved from 83% to 57%.

Your game

Louisville at Miami
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ACC title-game chanceEntering60%Win71%Loss28%
Louisville
Louisville 26%Miami 74%
Miami
Final ยท Louisville 24โ€“21 MiamiWent the other way โœ—

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Miami wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
SMU
at
Clemson
Final ยท SMU 35โ€“24 ClemsonWish granted โœ“
Projected 1.5-point playoff boost

SMU won and stayed ranked ahead of its Week 10 game against Miami.

Entering-week projection84% if SMU won83% with the other result1.5-point differenceMiami playoff chance
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Impact 2
Rooted for
USC
at
Notre Dame
Final ยท USC 24โ€“34 Notre DameWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.4-point playoff boost

Notre Dame won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection85% if USC won83% with the other result1.4-point differenceMiami playoff chance
56 other games had little impact
Texas Tech at Arizona State ยท FOX
Texas A&M at Arkansas ยท ESPN
Oregon at Rutgers ยท BTN
Missouri at Auburn ยท SEC Network
Nebraska at Minnesota ยท FOX
Tennessee at Alabama ยท ABC
Pittsburgh at Syracuse ยท ACC Network
New Mexico State at Liberty ยท CBSSN
Arkansas State at South Alabama ยท ESPN2
Florida International at Western Kentucky ยท ESPNU
Delaware at Jacksonville State ยท ESPN2
UTEP at Sam Houston ยท CBSSN
Tulsa at East Carolina ยท ESPN
San Josรฉ State at Utah State ยท CBSSN
North Carolina at California ยท ESPN
LSU at Vanderbilt ยท ABC
Washington at Michigan ยท FOX
Georgia Tech at Duke ยท ESPN
UConn at Boston College ยท ACC Network
Arizona at Houston ยท FS1
Baylor at TCU ยท ESPN2
Army at Tulane ยท ESPNU
Central Michigan at Bowling Green ยท CBSSN
Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH) ยท ESPN+
Oklahoma at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
West Virginia at UCF ยท TNT
Kent State at Toledo ยท ESPN+
Buffalo at Massachusetts ยท ESPN+
Purdue at Northwestern ยท BTN
Troy at UL Monroe ยท ESPN+
Ole Miss at Georgia ยท ABC
Ohio State at Wisconsin ยท CBS
Michigan State at Indiana ยท Peacock
Wyoming at Air Force ยท CBSSN
UNLV at Boise State ยท FS1
Coastal Carolina at App State ยท ESPN+
Old Dominion at James Madison ยท ESPNU
Texas State at Marshall ยท ESPN+
Temple at Charlotte ยท ESPN+
UTSA at North Texas ยท ESPN+
Akron at Ball State ยท ESPN+
Northern Illinois at Ohio ยท ESPN+
Memphis at UAB ยท ESPN2
Mississippi State at Florida ยท SEC Network
Southern Miss at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
Washington State at Virginia ยท The CW Network
Texas at Kentucky ยท ESPN
Penn State at Iowa ยท Peacock
Maryland at UCLA ยท FS1
Hawai'i at Colorado State
Georgia State at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at South Florida ยท ESPNU
Utah at BYU ยท FOX
Cincinnati at Oklahoma State ยท ESPN2
Nevada at New Mexico ยท FS1
Florida State at Stanford ยท ESPN
The rooting list was:Miami, then SMU, USC.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8). How the model works.