๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#5Miami Hurricanes

2โ€“0 ยท 0โ€“0 ACC
In the books
WEEK 3 ยท 2025
The Week 3 recap

Miami beat South Florida. Playoff odds moved from 54% to 72%.

Your game

South Florida at Miami
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playoff chanceEntering54%Win57%Loss41%
South Florida
South Florida 18%Miami 82%
Miami
Final ยท South Florida 12โ€“49 MiamiWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Miami wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
Florida
at
LSU
Final ยท Florida 10โ€“20 LSUWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.5-point playoff boost

LSU won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection56% if Florida won53% with the other result2.5-point differenceMiami playoff chance
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Impact 2
Boston College
at
Rooted for
Stanford
Final ยท Boston College 20โ€“30 StanfordWish granted โœ“
Projected 3.2-point title-game boost

Boston College lost, improving Miami's place in the ACC standings.

Entering-week projection47% if Stanford won44% with the other result3.2-point differenceMiami ACC title-game chance
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Impact 3
Clemson
at
Rooted for
Georgia Tech
Final ยท Clemson 21โ€“24 Georgia TechWish granted โœ“
Projected 3.1-point title-game boost

Clemson lost, improving Miami's place in the ACC standings.

Entering-week projection47% if Georgia Tech won44% with the other result3.1-point differenceMiami ACC title-game chance
43 other games had little impact
NC State at Wake Forest ยท ESPN
SMU at Missouri State ยท CBSSN
Old Dominion at Virginia Tech ยท ACC Network
Colorado at Houston ยท ESPN
Kansas State at Arizona ยท FOX
New Mexico at UCLA ยท BTN
Wisconsin at Alabama ยท ABC
Oklahoma at Temple ยท ESPN2
Oregon at Northwestern ยท FOX
Central Michigan at Michigan ยท BTN
Memphis at Troy ยท ESPNU
Buffalo at Kent State ยท CBSSN
South Alabama at Auburn ยท SEC Network
Louisiana at Missouri ยท ESPN+
UConn at Delaware ยท ESPN+
Georgia at Tennessee ยท ABC
USC at Purdue ยท CBS
Oregon State at Texas Tech ยท FOX
Washington State at North Texas ยท ESPNU
Pittsburgh at West Virginia ยท ESPN
Iowa State at Arkansas State ยท ESPN2
UTEP at Texas ยท SEC Network
Liberty at Bowling Green ยท ESPN+
Middle Tennessee at Nevada
Florida Atlantic at Florida International ยท ESPN+
Arkansas at Ole Miss ยท ESPN
Ohio at Ohio State ยท Peacock
Western Michigan at Illinois ยท FS1
Jacksonville State at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN+
App State at Southern Miss ยท ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Kentucky ยท ESPNU
Texas A&M at Notre Dame ยท NBC
Massachusetts at Iowa ยท BTN
New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech ยท ESPN+
East Carolina at Coastal Carolina ยท ESPN+
Vanderbilt at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
Duke at Tulane ยท ESPN2
Utah at Wyoming ยท CBSSN
Navy at Tulsa ยท ESPN+
Akron at UAB ยท ESPN+
Air Force at Utah State ยท FS1
Minnesota at California ยท ESPN
Texas State at Arizona State ยท TNT
The rooting list was:Miami, then Florida, Stanford, Georgia Tech.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 3, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 3). How the model works.