🏈 Fan Watch

#18Miami Hurricanes

6–2 · 2–2 ACC
In the books
WEEK 11 · 2025
The Week 11 recap

Miami beat Syracuse. Playoff odds moved from 12% to 25%.

Your game

Syracuse at Miami
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ESPN
playoff chanceEntering12%Win12%Loss<1%
Syracuse
Syracuse 3%Miami 97%
Miami
Final · Syracuse 10–38 MiamiWish granted ✓

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Miami wanted
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ESPN2
Impact 1
Rooted for
California
at
Louisville
Final · California 29–26 LouisvilleWish granted ✓
Projected 2.8-point playoff boost

Louisville lost, softening the damage from Miami's loss to them.

Entering-week projection14% if California won11% with the other result2.8-point differenceMiami playoff chance
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ESPN
Impact 2
Rooted for
Wake Forest
at
Virginia
Final · Wake Forest 16–9 VirginiaWish granted ✓
Projected 4.0-point title-game boost

Virginia lost, improving Miami's place in the ACC standings.

Entering-week projection6% if Wake Forest won2% with the other result4-point differenceMiami ACC title-game chance
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ESPN
Impact 3
Georgia
at
Rooted for
Mississippi State
Final · Georgia 41–21 Mississippi StateWent the other way ✗
Projected 1.8-point playoff boost

Georgia won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection13% if Mississippi State won11% with the other result1.8-point differenceMiami playoff chance
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ACC Network
Impact 4
SMU
at
Rooted for
Boston College
Final · SMU 45–13 Boston CollegeWent the other way ✗
Projected 2.2-point title-game boost

SMU won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection4% if Boston College won2% with the other result2.2-point differenceMiami ACC title-game chance
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ABC
Impact 5
Rooted for
LSU
at
Alabama
Final · LSU 9–20 AlabamaWent the other way ✗
Projected 1.4-point playoff boost

Alabama won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection13% if LSU won11% with the other result1.4-point differenceMiami playoff chance
45 other games had little impact
Massachusetts at Akron · CBSSN
Miami (OH) at Ohio · ESPN2
Kent State at Ball State · ESPNU
Northern Illinois at Toledo · ESPN2
Georgia Southern at App State · ESPN2
UTSA at South Florida · ESPN
Houston at UCF · FS1
Northwestern at USC · FOX
Tulane at Memphis · ESPN
Indiana at Penn State · FOX
BYU at Texas Tech · ABC
Colorado at West Virginia · TNT
James Madison at Marshall · ESPN2
Southern Miss at Arkansas State · ESPNU
Temple at Army · CBSSN
Ohio State at Purdue · BTN
Missouri State at Liberty · ESPN+
Bowling Green at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
UAB at Rice · ESPN+
Maryland at Rutgers · FS1
Louisiana Tech at Delaware · ESPN+
Florida International at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
Jacksonville State at UTEP · ESPN+
Charlotte at East Carolina · ESPN+
Tulsa at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Texas A&M at Missouri · ABC
Oregon at Iowa · CBS
Duke at UConn · CBSSN
Kansas at Arizona · ESPN2
Iowa State at TCU · FOX
Auburn at Vanderbilt · SEC Network
Kennesaw State at New Mexico State · ESPN+
Georgia State at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
Washington at Wisconsin · BTN
Stanford at North Carolina · The CW Network
Texas State at Louisiana · ESPN+
Air Force at San José State · FS1
Florida State at Clemson · ACC Network
Florida at Kentucky · SEC Network
Navy at Notre Dame · NBC
Nevada at Utah State · CBSSN
Nebraska at UCLA · FOX
UNLV at Colorado State · FS1
Sam Houston at Oregon State · The CW Network
San Diego State at Hawai'i
The rooting list was:Miami, then California, Wake Forest, Mississippi State, Boston College, LSU.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 11, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 11). How the model works.