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North Texas Mean Green

6–1 · 2–1 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
In the books
WEEK 9 · 2025
The Week 9 recap

North Texas beat Charlotte. Playoff odds moved from 9% to 13%.

Your game

North Texas at Charlotte
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ESPN2
American title-game chanceEntering47%Win49%Loss8%
North Texas
North Texas 95%Charlotte 5%
Charlotte
Final · North Texas 54–20 CharlotteWish granted ✓

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result North Texas wanted
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ESPN2
Impact 1
Rooted for
South Florida
at
Memphis
Final · South Florida 31–34 MemphisWent the other way ✗
Projected 6.2-point title-game boost

Memphis won instead, so North Texas did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection51% if South Florida won44% with the other result6.2-point differenceNorth Texas American title-game chance
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ESPN
Impact 2
Rooted for
Stanford
at
Miami
Final · Stanford 7–42 MiamiWent the other way ✗
Projected 3.0-point playoff boost

Miami won instead, so North Texas did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection12% if Stanford won9% with the other result3-point differenceNorth Texas playoff chance
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CBSSN
Impact 3
Rooted for
Florida Atlantic
at
Navy
Final · Florida Atlantic 32–42 NavyWent the other way ✗
Projected 2.7-point title-game boost

Navy won instead, so North Texas did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection49% if Florida Atlantic won46% with the other result2.7-point differenceNorth Texas American title-game chance
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CBSSN
Impact 4
Boise State
at
Rooted for
Nevada
Final · Boise State 24–3 NevadaWent the other way ✗
Projected 1.5-point playoff boost

Boise State won instead, so North Texas did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection11% if Nevada won9% with the other result1.5-point differenceNorth Texas playoff chance
48 other games had little impact
Kennesaw State at Florida International · ESPNU
Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech · CBSSN
Middle Tennessee at Delaware · ESPN2
Missouri State at New Mexico State · CBSSN
South Alabama at Georgia State · ESPN2
California at Virginia Tech · ESPN
Ole Miss at Oklahoma · ABC
Northwestern at Nebraska · FS1
Rutgers at Purdue · BTN
UCLA at Indiana · FOX
SMU at Wake Forest · The CW Network
Syracuse at Georgia Tech · ESPN
Virginia at North Carolina · ACC Network
Kansas State at Kansas · TNT
App State at Old Dominion · ESPNU
Bowling Green at Kent State · ESPN+
Ohio at Eastern Michigan · CBSSN
Auburn at Arkansas · SEC Network
Akron at Buffalo · ESPN+
UConn at Rice · ESPN+
Utah State at New Mexico
Alabama at South Carolina · ABC
Missouri at Vanderbilt · ESPN
Illinois at Washington · BTN
Minnesota at Iowa · CBS
Toledo at Washington State · The CW Network
NC State at Pittsburgh · ACC Network
BYU at Iowa State · FOX
San Diego State at Fresno State · FS1
UL Monroe at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Temple at Tulsa · ESPN+
Ball State at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Massachusetts at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Western Michigan at Miami (OH) · ESPN+
Baylor at Cincinnati · ESPN2
Oklahoma State at Texas Tech · ESPNU
Texas at Mississippi State · SEC Network
TCU at West Virginia · ESPN+
Wisconsin at Oregon · FS1
Georgia Southern at Arkansas State · ESPN+
Louisiana at Troy · ESPN+
Texas A&M at LSU · ABC
Michigan at Michigan State · NBC
Boston College at Louisville · ACC Network
Colorado State at Wyoming · CBSSN
Tennessee at Kentucky · SEC Network
Houston at Arizona State · ESPN2
Colorado at Utah · ESPN
The rooting list was:North Texas, then South Florida, Stanford, Florida Atlantic, Nevada.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 9, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 9). How the model works.