๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

North Texas Mean Green

5โ€“1 ยท 1โ€“1 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
In the books
WEEK 8 ยท 2025
The Week 8 recap

North Texas beat UTSA. Playoff odds moved from 1% to 9%.

Your game

UTSA at North Texas
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American title-game chanceEntering13%Win23%Loss<1%
UTSA
UTSA 47%North Texas 53%
North Texas
Final ยท UTSA 17โ€“55 North TexasWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result North Texas wanted
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Impact 1
Memphis
at
Rooted for
UAB
Final ยท Memphis 24โ€“31 UABWish granted โœ“
Projected 6.4-point title-game boost

Memphis lost, improving North Texas's place in the American Athletic standings.

Entering-week projection19% if UAB won12% with the other result6.4-point differenceNorth Texas American title-game chance
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Impact 2
Rooted for
Florida Atlantic
at
South Florida
Final ยท Florida Atlantic 13โ€“48 South FloridaWent the other way โœ—
Projected 5.3-point title-game boost

South Florida won instead, so North Texas did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection18% if Florida Atlantic won12% with the other result5.3-point differenceNorth Texas American title-game chance
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Impact 3
Rooted for
Army
at
Tulane
Final ยท Army 17โ€“24 TulaneWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.3-point title-game boost

Tulane won instead, so North Texas did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection14% if Army won12% with the other result2.3-point differenceNorth Texas American title-game chance
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Impact 4
Rooted for
Tulsa
at
East Carolina
Final ยท Tulsa 27โ€“41 East CarolinaWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.2-point title-game boost

East Carolina won instead, so North Texas did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection15% if Tulsa won13% with the other result2.2-point differenceNorth Texas American title-game chance
54 other games had little impact
New Mexico State at Liberty ยท CBSSN
Arkansas State at South Alabama ยท ESPN2
Florida International at Western Kentucky ยท ESPNU
Delaware at Jacksonville State ยท ESPN2
UTEP at Sam Houston ยท CBSSN
Louisville at Miami ยท ESPN
Nebraska at Minnesota ยท FOX
San Josรฉ State at Utah State ยท CBSSN
North Carolina at California ยท ESPN
LSU at Vanderbilt ยท ABC
Washington at Michigan ยท FOX
Georgia Tech at Duke ยท ESPN
UConn at Boston College ยท ACC Network
Arizona at Houston ยท FS1
Baylor at TCU ยท ESPN2
Central Michigan at Bowling Green ยท CBSSN
Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH) ยท ESPN+
Oklahoma at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
West Virginia at UCF ยท TNT
Kent State at Toledo ยท ESPN+
Buffalo at Massachusetts ยท ESPN+
Purdue at Northwestern ยท BTN
Troy at UL Monroe ยท ESPN+
Texas A&M at Arkansas ยท ESPN
Ole Miss at Georgia ยท ABC
Ohio State at Wisconsin ยท CBS
Michigan State at Indiana ยท Peacock
SMU at Clemson ยท ACC Network
Wyoming at Air Force ยท CBSSN
UNLV at Boise State ยท FS1
Coastal Carolina at App State ยท ESPN+
Old Dominion at James Madison ยท ESPNU
Texas State at Marshall ยท ESPN+
Temple at Charlotte ยท ESPN+
Akron at Ball State ยท ESPN+
Northern Illinois at Ohio ยท ESPN+
Texas Tech at Arizona State ยท FOX
Mississippi State at Florida ยท SEC Network
Southern Miss at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
Oregon at Rutgers ยท BTN
Washington State at Virginia ยท The CW Network
Texas at Kentucky ยท ESPN
Penn State at Iowa ยท Peacock
Maryland at UCLA ยท FS1
Hawai'i at Colorado State
Georgia State at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN+
Tennessee at Alabama ยท ABC
USC at Notre Dame ยท NBC
Pittsburgh at Syracuse ยท ACC Network
Missouri at Auburn ยท SEC Network
Utah at BYU ยท FOX
Cincinnati at Oklahoma State ยท ESPN2
Nevada at New Mexico ยท FS1
Florida State at Stanford ยท ESPN
The rooting list was:North Texas, then UAB, Florida Atlantic, Army, Tulsa.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8). How the model works.