๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

North Texas Mean Green

5โ€“0 ยท 1โ€“0 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
In the books
WEEK 6 ยท 2025
The Week 6 recap

North Texas was off. Playoff odds moved from 10% to 10%.

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result North Texas wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
Tulsa
at
Memphis
Final ยท Tulsa 7โ€“45 MemphisWent the other way โœ—
Projected 7.1-point title-game boost

Memphis won instead, so North Texas did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection58% if Tulsa won51% with the other result7.1-point differenceNorth Texas American title-game chance
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Impact 2
UTSA
at
Rooted for
Temple
Final ยท UTSA 21โ€“27 TempleWish granted โœ“
Projected 2.0-point title-game boost

UTSA lost, improving North Texas's place in the American Athletic standings.

Entering-week projection53% if Temple won51% with the other result2-point differenceNorth Texas American title-game chance
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Impact 3
Army
at
Rooted for
UAB
Final ยท Army 31โ€“13 UABWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.9-point title-game boost

Army won instead, so North Texas did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection53% if UAB won51% with the other result1.9-point differenceNorth Texas American title-game chance
47 other games had little impact
Vanderbilt at Alabama ยท ABC
Sam Houston at New Mexico State ยท CBSSN
Western Kentucky at Delaware ยท CBSSN
Charlotte at South Florida ยท ESPN2
New Mexico at San Josรฉ State ยท FS1
West Virginia at BYU ยท ESPN
Colorado State at San Diego State ยท CBSSN
Kentucky at Georgia ยท ABC
Wisconsin at Michigan ยท FOX
Illinois at Purdue ยท BTN
Boston College at Pittsburgh ยท ACC Network
Clemson at North Carolina ยท ESPN
Kansas State at Baylor ยท ESPN+
Iowa State at Cincinnati ยท ESPN2
Air Force at Navy ยท CBS
Ohio at Ball State ยท CBSSN
Wake Forest at Virginia Tech ยท The CW Network
Western Michigan at Massachusetts ยท ESPN+
Oklahoma State at Arizona ยท truTV
Texas at Florida ยท ESPN
Penn State at UCLA ยท CBS
Washington at Maryland ยท BTN
UL Monroe at Northwestern ยท BTN
Oregon State at App State ยท ESPN+
Virginia at Louisville ยท ESPN2
Syracuse at SMU ยท ACC Network
Boise State at Notre Dame ยท NBC
Florida International at UConn ยท CBSSN
James Madison at Georgia State ยท ESPN+
Central Michigan at Akron ยท ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Buffalo ยท ESPN+
Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois ยท ESPN+
Kent State at Oklahoma ยท SEC Network
Michigan State at Nebraska ยท FS1
Texas State at Arkansas State ยท ESPNU
Coastal Carolina at Old Dominion ยท ESPN+
Texas Tech at Houston ยท ESPN
UNLV at Wyoming ยท CBSSN
South Alabama at Troy ยท ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at Rice ยท ESPN+
Mississippi State at Texas A&M ยท SEC Network
Minnesota at Ohio State ยท NBC
Miami at Florida State ยท ABC
Colorado at TCU ยท FOX
Kansas at UCF ยท ESPN2
Duke at California ยท ESPN
Nevada at Fresno State ยท CBSSN
The rooting list was:North Texas is off, then Tulsa, Temple, UAB.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 6). How the model works.