๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

North Texas Mean Green

5โ€“0 ยท 1โ€“0 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
In the books
WEEK 7 ยท 2025
The Week 7 recap

North Texas lost to South Florida. Playoff odds moved from 10% to 1%.

Your game

South Florida at North Texas
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
American title-game chanceEntering51%Win60%Loss25%
South Florida
South Florida 27%North Texas 73%
North Texas
Final ยท South Florida 63โ€“36 North TexasWent the other way โœ—

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result North Texas wanted
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
Impact 1
Navy
at
Rooted for
Temple
Final ยท Navy 32โ€“31 TempleWent the other way โœ—
Projected 4.0-point title-game boost

Navy won instead, so North Texas did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection54% if Temple won50% with the other result4-point differenceNorth Texas American title-game chance
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
Impact 2
Rooted for
East Carolina
at
Tulane
Final ยท East Carolina 19โ€“26 TulaneWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.1-point title-game boost

Tulane won instead, so North Texas did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection52% if East Carolina won50% with the other result2.1-point differenceNorth Texas American title-game chance
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
Impact 3
Rooted for
New Mexico
at
Boise State
Final ยท New Mexico 25โ€“41 Boise StateWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.3-point playoff boost

Boise State won instead, so North Texas did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection11% if New Mexico won10% with the other result1.3-point differenceNorth Texas playoff chance
52 other games had little impact
Missouri State at Middle Tennessee ยท ESPN2
Liberty at UTEP ยท CBSSN
Louisiana Tech at Kennesaw State ยท ESPNU
Jacksonville State at Sam Houston ยท CBSSN
Southern Miss at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN2
Rutgers at Washington ยท FS1
Fresno State at Colorado State ยท CBSSN
Alabama at Missouri ยท ABC
UCLA at Michigan State ยท BTN
Ohio State at Illinois ยท FOX
Pittsburgh at Florida State ยท ESPN
Stanford at SMU ยท The CW Network
UCF at Cincinnati ยท FS1
Houston at Oklahoma State ยท TNT
Louisiana at James Madison ยท ESPN2
Charlotte at Army ยท CBSSN
Miami (OH) at Akron ยท ESPN+
Toledo at Bowling Green ยท ESPNU
Washington State at Ole Miss ยท SEC Network
Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan ยท ESPN+
Massachusetts at Kent State ยท ESPN+
Oklahoma at Texas ยท ABC
Northwestern at Penn State ยท FS1
Nebraska at Maryland ยท BTN
Indiana at Oregon ยท CBS
Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech ยท ACC Network
NC State at Notre Dame ยท Peacock
Wake Forest at Oregon State ยท The CW Network
Iowa State at Colorado ยท ESPN
TCU at Kansas State ยท FOX
Air Force at UNLV ยท CBSSN
App State at Georgia State ยท ESPN+
Old Dominion at Marshall ยท ESPN+
Ball State at Western Michigan ยท ESPN+
Arkansas at Tennessee ยท SEC Network
UAB at Florida Atlantic ยท ESPN+
Florida at Texas A&M ยท ESPN
Iowa at Wisconsin ยท FS1
San Josรฉ State at Wyoming ยท CBSSN
UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina ยท ESPN+
Georgia at Auburn ยท ABC
Purdue at Minnesota ยท BTN
Michigan at USC ยท NBC
Clemson at Boston College ยท ACC Network
Kansas at Texas Tech ยท FOX
Rice at UTSA ยท ESPNU
South Carolina at LSU ยท SEC Network
BYU at Arizona ยท ESPN2
Troy at Texas State ยท ESPN+
Arizona State at Utah ยท ESPN
San Diego State at Nevada ยท CBSSN
Utah State at Hawai'i
The rooting list was:North Texas, then Temple, East Carolina, New Mexico.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 7). How the model works.