UNLV Rebels
6–1 · 2–1 MOUNTAIN WEST
In the books
WEEK 9 · 2025
61%
MW title game
19%
Win the MW
<1%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 12.0
How the week went: playoff odds <1% → <1% · title-game odds 61% → 32%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves UNLV's pathBig swingsthese move your odds the most
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… · FS1
San Diego State at Fresno State
Mountain West race: San Diego State losing helps your spot in the standings.
Final · San Diego State 23–0 Fresno StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Fresno State+15.4 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · CBSSN
Boise State at Nevada
Mountain West race: Boise State losing helps your spot in the standings; Boise State losing softens the sting of your loss to them; Nevada visits your schedule in week 14 — keep them ranked.
Final · Boise State 24–3 NevadaWent the other way ✗
Root for Nevada+3.4 pp title-game odds
…
…
Utah State at New Mexico
Mountain West race: Utah State losing helps your spot in the standings; New Mexico visits your schedule in week 10 — keep them ranked.
Final · Utah State 14–33 New MexicoWish granted ✓
Root for New Mexico+2.2 pp title-game odds
50 more games that don't move your needle
Colorado State at Wyoming · CBSSN
Kennesaw State at Florida International · ESPNU
Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech · CBSSN
Middle Tennessee at Delaware · ESPN2
Missouri State at New Mexico State · CBSSN
South Alabama at Georgia State · ESPN2
North Texas at Charlotte · ESPN2
California at Virginia Tech · ESPN
Ole Miss at Oklahoma · ABC
Northwestern at Nebraska · FS1
Rutgers at Purdue · BTN
UCLA at Indiana · FOX
SMU at Wake Forest · The CW Network
Syracuse at Georgia Tech · ESPN
Virginia at North Carolina · ACC Network
Kansas State at Kansas · TNT
App State at Old Dominion · ESPNU
South Florida at Memphis · ESPN2
Bowling Green at Kent State · ESPN+
Ohio at Eastern Michigan · CBSSN
Auburn at Arkansas · SEC Network
Akron at Buffalo · ESPN+
UConn at Rice · ESPN+
Alabama at South Carolina · ABC
Missouri at Vanderbilt · ESPN
Illinois at Washington · BTN
Minnesota at Iowa · CBS
Toledo at Washington State · The CW Network
NC State at Pittsburgh · ACC Network
BYU at Iowa State · FOX
UL Monroe at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at Navy · CBSSN
Temple at Tulsa · ESPN+
Ball State at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Massachusetts at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Western Michigan at Miami (OH) · ESPN+
Baylor at Cincinnati · ESPN2
Oklahoma State at Texas Tech · ESPNU
Texas at Mississippi State · SEC Network
TCU at West Virginia · ESPN+
Wisconsin at Oregon · FS1
Stanford at Miami · ESPN
Georgia Southern at Arkansas State · ESPN+
Louisiana at Troy · ESPN+
Texas A&M at LSU · ABC
Michigan at Michigan State · NBC
Boston College at Louisville · ACC Network
Tennessee at Kentucky · SEC Network
Houston at Arizona State · ESPN2
Colorado at Utah · ESPN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 9, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 9).