UNLV Rebels
0–0 · 0–0 MOUNTAIN WEST
In the books
WEEK 1 · 2025
69%
MW title game
43%
Win the MW
18%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.7
How the week went: playoff odds 18% → 17%.
If UNLV wins out: 70% to win the MW, 66% to make the playoff.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves UNLV's pathYour game
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… · CBSSN
UNLV at Sam Houston
Your game. Beat Sam Houston and your playoff odds are 20%; lose and they drop to 8%.
Final · UNLV 38–21 Sam HoustonWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · BTN
Ohio at Rutgers
Rutgers winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Ohio 31–34 RutgersWish granted ✓
Root for Rutgers+2.5 pp playoff odds
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… · ESPN
#25 Boise State at South Florida
Mountain West race: Boise State losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Boise State in week 8.
Final · Boise State 7–34 South FloridaWish granted ✓
Root for South Florida+2.9 pp title-game odds
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… · ESPNU
Northwestern at Tulane
Northwestern winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Northwestern 3–23 TulaneWent the other way ✗
Root for Northwestern+1.8 pp playoff odds
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… · FS1
Old Dominion at #20 Indiana
Indiana winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Old Dominion 14–27 IndianaWish granted ✓
Root for Indiana+1.6 pp playoff odds
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… · ESPN+
Jacksonville State at UCF
UCF winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Jacksonville State 10–17 UCFWish granted ✓
Root for UCF+1.5 pp playoff odds
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… · ABC
#6 Notre Dame at #10 Miami
Miami winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Notre Dame 24–27 MiamiWish granted ✓
Root for Miami+1.4 pp playoff odds
41 more games that don't move your needle
Fresno State at Kansas · FOX
Iowa State at Kansas State · ESPN
Sam Houston at Western Kentucky · CBSSN
Stanford at Hawai'i · CBS
East Carolina at NC State · ACC Network
Wyoming at Akron · ESPN+
Buffalo at Minnesota · FS1
Nebraska at Cincinnati · ESPN
Miami (OH) at Wisconsin · BTN
Western Michigan at Michigan State · FS1
Kennesaw State at Wake Forest · ACC Network
App State at Charlotte · ESPNU
Auburn at Baylor · FOX
Georgia Tech at Colorado · ESPN
Central Michigan at San José State · FS1
Mississippi State at Southern Miss · ESPN
Syracuse at Tennessee · ABC
Texas at Ohio State · FOX
Florida Atlantic at Maryland · BTN
Ball State at Purdue · BTN
Toledo at Kentucky · SEC Network
Alabama at Florida State · ABC
Marshall at Georgia · ESPN
Nevada at Penn State · CBS
Temple at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at Virginia · ACC Network
UTSA at Texas A&M · ESPN
LSU at Clemson · ABC
Missouri State at USC · BTN
New Mexico at Michigan · NBC
UTEP at Utah State · CBSSN
Georgia State at Ole Miss · SEC Network
Rice at Louisiana · ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Texas State · ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Fresno State · FS1
California at Oregon State · ESPN
Hawai'i at Arizona · TNT
Utah at UCLA · FOX
Colorado State at Washington · BTN
Virginia Tech at South Carolina · ESPN
TCU at North Carolina · ESPN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 1, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 1).