๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

UNLV Rebels

0โ€“0 ยท 0โ€“0 MOUNTAIN WEST
In the books
WEEK 1 ยท 2025
The Week 1 recap

UNLV beat Sam Houston. Playoff odds moved from 16% to 16%.

Your game

UNLV at Sam Houston
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
playoff chanceEntering16%Win18%Loss9%
UNLV
UNLV 79%Sam Houston 21%
Sam Houston
Final ยท UNLV 38โ€“21 Sam HoustonWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result UNLV wanted
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
Impact 1
Jacksonville State
at
Rooted for
UCF
Final ยท Jacksonville State 10โ€“17 UCFWish granted โœ“
Projected 1.5-point playoff boost

UCF won, thinning out the at-large competition for UNLV's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection17% if UCF won16% with the other result1.5-point differenceUNLV playoff chance
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
Impact 2
Fresno State
at
Rooted for
Kansas
Final ยท Fresno State 7โ€“31 KansasWish granted โœ“
Projected 2.0-point title-game boost

Fresno State lost, improving UNLV's place in the Mountain West standings.

Entering-week projection68% if Kansas won66% with the other result2-point differenceUNLV MW title-game chance
45 other games had little impact
Ohio at Rutgers ยท BTN
Boise State at South Florida ยท ESPN
TCU at North Carolina ยท ESPN
Iowa State at Kansas State ยท ESPN
Sam Houston at Western Kentucky ยท CBSSN
Stanford at Hawai'i ยท CBS
East Carolina at NC State ยท ACC Network
Wyoming at Akron ยท ESPN+
Buffalo at Minnesota ยท FS1
Nebraska at Cincinnati ยท ESPN
Miami (OH) at Wisconsin ยท BTN
Western Michigan at Michigan State ยท FS1
Kennesaw State at Wake Forest ยท ACC Network
App State at Charlotte ยท ESPNU
Auburn at Baylor ยท FOX
Georgia Tech at Colorado ยท ESPN
Central Michigan at San Josรฉ State ยท FS1
Mississippi State at Southern Miss ยท ESPN
Syracuse at Tennessee ยท ABC
Texas at Ohio State ยท FOX
Florida Atlantic at Maryland ยท BTN
Ball State at Purdue ยท BTN
Northwestern at Tulane ยท ESPNU
Toledo at Kentucky ยท SEC Network
Old Dominion at Indiana ยท FS1
Alabama at Florida State ยท ABC
Marshall at Georgia ยท ESPN
Nevada at Penn State ยท CBS
Temple at Massachusetts ยท ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at Virginia ยท ACC Network
UTSA at Texas A&M ยท ESPN
LSU at Clemson ยท ABC
Missouri State at USC ยท BTN
New Mexico at Michigan ยท NBC
UTEP at Utah State ยท CBSSN
Georgia State at Ole Miss ยท SEC Network
Rice at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Texas State ยท ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Fresno State ยท FS1
California at Oregon State ยท ESPN
Hawai'i at Arizona ยท TNT
Utah at UCLA ยท FOX
Colorado State at Washington ยท BTN
Virginia Tech at South Carolina ยท ESPN
Notre Dame at Miami ยท ABC
The rooting list was:UNLV, then UCF, Kansas.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 1, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 1). How the model works.