🏈 Fan Watch

UNLV Rebels

50 · 10 MOUNTAIN WEST
In the books
WEEK 7 · 2025
The Week 7 recap

UNLV beat Air Force. Playoff odds moved from 11% to 9%.

Your game

Air Force at UNLV
MW title-game chanceEntering71%Win75%Loss46%
Air Force
Air Force 12%UNLV 88%
UNLV
Final · Air Force 4851 UNLVWish granted ✓

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result UNLV wanted
Impact 1
Fresno State
at
Rooted for
Colorado State
Final · Fresno State 2149 Colorado StateWish granted ✓
Projected 6.3-point title-game boost

Fresno State lost, improving UNLV's place in the Mountain West standings.

Entering-week projection75% if Colorado State won69% with the other result6.3-point differenceUNLV MW title-game chance
Impact 2
San José State
at
Rooted for
Wyoming
Final · San José State 2835 WyomingWish granted ✓
Projected 4.2-point title-game boost

San José State lost, improving UNLV's place in the Mountain West standings.

Entering-week projection73% if Wyoming won69% with the other result4.2-point differenceUNLV MW title-game chance
Impact 3
Rooted for
New Mexico
at
Boise State
Final · New Mexico 2541 Boise StateWent the other way ✗
Projected 4.0-point title-game boost

Boise State won instead, so UNLV did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection75% if New Mexico won70% with the other result4-point differenceUNLV MW title-game chance
Impact 4
San Diego State
at
Rooted for
Nevada
Final · San Diego State 4410 NevadaWent the other way ✗
Projected 2.5-point title-game boost

San Diego State won instead, so UNLV did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection73% if Nevada won70% with the other result2.5-point differenceUNLV MW title-game chance
51 other games had little impact
Old Dominion at Marshall · ESPN+
Missouri State at Middle Tennessee · ESPN2
Liberty at UTEP · CBSSN
Louisiana Tech at Kennesaw State · ESPNU
East Carolina at Tulane · ESPN
Jacksonville State at Sam Houston · CBSSN
Southern Miss at Georgia Southern · ESPN2
South Florida at North Texas · ESPN2
Rutgers at Washington · FS1
Alabama at Missouri · ABC
UCLA at Michigan State · BTN
Ohio State at Illinois · FOX
Pittsburgh at Florida State · ESPN
Stanford at SMU · The CW Network
UCF at Cincinnati · FS1
Houston at Oklahoma State · TNT
Louisiana at James Madison · ESPN2
Charlotte at Army · CBSSN
Miami (OH) at Akron · ESPN+
Toledo at Bowling Green · ESPNU
Washington State at Ole Miss · SEC Network
Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
Massachusetts at Kent State · ESPN+
Oklahoma at Texas · ABC
Northwestern at Penn State · FS1
Nebraska at Maryland · BTN
Indiana at Oregon · CBS
Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech · ACC Network
NC State at Notre Dame · Peacock
Wake Forest at Oregon State · The CW Network
Iowa State at Colorado · ESPN
TCU at Kansas State · FOX
App State at Georgia State · ESPN+
Ball State at Western Michigan · ESPN+
Navy at Temple · ESPN2
Arkansas at Tennessee · SEC Network
UAB at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Florida at Texas A&M · ESPN
Iowa at Wisconsin · FS1
UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
Georgia at Auburn · ABC
Purdue at Minnesota · BTN
Michigan at USC · NBC
Clemson at Boston College · ACC Network
Kansas at Texas Tech · FOX
Rice at UTSA · ESPNU
South Carolina at LSU · SEC Network
BYU at Arizona · ESPN2
Troy at Texas State · ESPN+
Arizona State at Utah · ESPN
Utah State at Hawai'i
The rooting list was:UNLV, then Colorado State, Wyoming, New Mexico, Nevada.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 7). How the model works.