UNLV Rebels
3–0 · 0–0 MOUNTAIN WEST
In the books
WEEK 4 · 2025
69%
MW title game
43%
Win the MW
16%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.8
How the week went: playoff odds 16% → 14% · title-game odds 69% → 68%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves UNLV's pathYour game
…
… · ESPNU
UNLV at Miami (OH)
Your game. Beat Miami (OH) and your playoff odds are 20%; lose and they drop to 8%.
Final · UNLV 41–38 Miami (OH)Wish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · CBSSN
Boise State at Air Force
Mountain West race: Boise State losing helps your spot in the standings; Air Force visits your schedule in week 7 — keep them ranked.
Final · Boise State 49–37 Air ForceWent the other way ✗
Root for Air Force+4.5 pp title-game odds
…
… · ABC
Arkansas at Memphis
Arkansas winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Arkansas 31–32 MemphisWent the other way ✗
Root for Arkansas+2.6 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
Tulane at #13 Ole Miss
Ole Miss winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Tulane 10–45 Ole MissWish granted ✓
Root for Ole Miss+2.2 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN+
Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Southern Miss 20–30 Louisiana TechWish granted ✓
Root for Louisiana Tech+1.4 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPNU
James Madison at Liberty
Liberty winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · James Madison 31–13 LibertyWent the other way ✗
Root for Liberty+1.3 pp playoff odds
44 more games that don't move your needle
Fresno State at Hawai'i
UTSA at Colorado State · FS1
Rice at Charlotte · ESPN
Tulsa at Oklahoma State · ESPN
Iowa at Rutgers · FOX
Maryland at Wisconsin · NBC
Syracuse at Clemson · ESPN
SMU at TCU · ESPN
Bowling Green at Louisville · ACC Network
Texas Tech at Utah · FOX
North Texas at Army · CBSSN
UAB at Tennessee · SEC Network
Oregon State at Oregon · BTN
Auburn at Oklahoma · ABC
Michigan at Nebraska · CBS
Purdue at Notre Dame · NBC
Kent State at Florida State · ACC Network
North Carolina at UCF · FOX
Ball State at UConn · CBSSN
Louisiana at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
Troy at Buffalo · ESPN+
Toledo at Western Michigan · ESPN+
NC State at Duke · ESPN2
Northern Illinois at Mississippi State · SEC Network
Temple at Georgia Tech · The CW Network
West Virginia at Kansas · FS1
Delaware at Florida International · ESPN+
Arkansas State at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
South Carolina at Missouri · ESPN
Marshall at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
Nevada at Western Kentucky · ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at South Alabama · ESPN+
Florida at Miami · ABC
Georgia State at Vanderbilt · ESPNU
Washington at Washington State · CBS
Illinois at Indiana · NBC
Stanford at Virginia · ACC Network
Arizona State at Baylor · FOX
BYU at East Carolina · ESPN2
Sam Houston at Texas · ESPN+
UL Monroe at UTEP · ESPN+
Wyoming at Colorado · ESPN
California at San Diego State · CBSSN
Michigan State at USC · FOX
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 4, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 4).