๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

UNLV Rebels

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In the books
WEEK 5 ยท 2025
The Week 5 recap

UNLV was off. Playoff odds moved from 13% to 11%.

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result UNLV wanted
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Impact 1
App State
at
Rooted for
Boise State
Final ยท App State 14โ€“47 Boise StateWish granted โœ“
Projected 1.7-point playoff boost

Boise State won and stayed ranked ahead of its Week 8 game against UNLV.

Entering-week projection13% if Boise State won11% with the other result1.7-point differenceUNLV playoff chance
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Impact 2
Akron
at
Rooted for
Toledo
Final ยท Akron 3โ€“45 ToledoWish granted โœ“
Projected 1.6-point playoff boost

Toledo won, thinning out the at-large competition for UNLV's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection13% if Toledo won11% with the other result1.6-point differenceUNLV playoff chance
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Impact 3
Jacksonville State
at
Rooted for
Southern Miss
Final ยท Jacksonville State 25โ€“42 Southern MissWish granted โœ“
Projected 1.2-point playoff boost

Southern Miss won, thinning out the at-large competition for UNLV's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection14% if Southern Miss won13% with the other result1.2-point differenceUNLV playoff chance
48 other games had little impact
Washington State at Colorado State ยท CBSSN
Army at East Carolina ยท ESPN
Florida State at Virginia ยท ESPN
TCU at Arizona State ยท FOX
Houston at Oregon State ยท ESPN
Notre Dame at Arkansas ยท ABC
Rutgers at Minnesota ยท BTN
USC at Illinois ยท FOX
Duke at Syracuse ยท ACC Network
Georgia Tech at Wake Forest ยท ESPN
Louisville at Pittsburgh ยท ESPN2
Cincinnati at Kansas ยท TNT
UCF at Kansas State ยท FS1
South Alabama at North Texas ยท ESPNU
Bowling Green at Ohio ยท CBSSN
Utah State at Vanderbilt ยท SEC Network
Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan ยท ESPN+
Georgia Southern at James Madison ยท ESPN+
Arkansas State at UL Monroe ยท ESPN+
LSU at Ole Miss ยท ABC
Auburn at Texas A&M ยท ESPN
UCLA at Northwestern ยท BTN
Ohio State at Washington ยท CBS
Indiana at Iowa ยท Peacock
California at Boston College ยท ACC Network
Baylor at Oklahoma State ยท ESPN2
Utah at West Virginia ยท FOX
UConn at Buffalo ยท ESPN+
San Diego State at Northern Illinois ยท ESPN+
Rice at Navy ยท CBSSN
New Mexico State at New Mexico
Hawai'i at Air Force ยท FS1
Tulane at Tulsa ยท ESPNU
Tennessee at Mississippi State ยท SEC Network
Middle Tennessee at Kennesaw State ยท ESPN+
Liberty at Old Dominion ยท ESPN+
Virginia Tech at NC State ยท The CW Network
Arizona at Iowa State ยท ESPN
Western Kentucky at Missouri State ยท ESPN+
Memphis at Florida Atlantic ยท ESPN2
Alabama at Georgia ยท ABC
Massachusetts at Missouri ยท ESPNU
Oregon at Penn State ยท NBC
San Josรฉ State at Stanford ยท ACC Network
Kentucky at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
Marshall at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
Louisiana Tech at UTEP ยท ESPN+
BYU at Colorado ยท ESPN
The rooting list was:UNLV is off, then Boise State, Toledo, Southern Miss.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 5). How the model works.