๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#21Texas Longhorns

4โ€“2 ยท 1โ€“1 SEC
In the books
WEEK 8 ยท 2025
The Week 8 recap

Texas beat Kentucky. Playoff odds moved from 19% to 14%.

Your game

Texas at Kentucky
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playoff chanceEntering19%Win21%Loss6%
Texas
Texas 89%Kentucky 11%
Kentucky
Final ยท Texas 16โ€“13 KentuckyWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Texas wanted
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Impact 1
Ole Miss
at
Rooted for
Georgia
Final ยท Ole Miss 35โ€“43 GeorgiaWish granted โœ“
Projected 5.2-point title-game boost

Ole Miss lost, improving Texas's place in the SEC standings.

Entering-week projection16% if Georgia won10% with the other result5.2-point differenceTexas SEC title-game chance
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Impact 2
LSU
at
Rooted for
Vanderbilt
Final ยท LSU 24โ€“31 VanderbiltWish granted โœ“
Projected 2.2-point playoff boost

Vanderbilt won and stayed ranked ahead of its Week 10 game against Texas.

Entering-week projection20% if Vanderbilt won18% with the other result2.2-point differenceTexas playoff chance
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Impact 3
Texas Tech
at
Rooted for
Arizona State
Final ยท Texas Tech 22โ€“26 Arizona StateWish granted โœ“
Projected 1.6-point playoff boost

Arizona State won, thinning out the at-large competition for Texas's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection21% if Arizona State won19% with the other result1.6-point differenceTexas playoff chance
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Impact 4
Georgia Tech
at
Rooted for
Duke
Final ยท Georgia Tech 27โ€“18 DukeWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.4-point playoff boost

Georgia Tech won instead, so Texas did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection20% if Duke won19% with the other result1.4-point differenceTexas playoff chance
54 other games had little impact
Mississippi State at Florida ยท SEC Network
Oklahoma at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
Tennessee at Alabama ยท ABC
Texas A&M at Arkansas ยท ESPN
New Mexico State at Liberty ยท CBSSN
Arkansas State at South Alabama ยท ESPN2
Florida International at Western Kentucky ยท ESPNU
Delaware at Jacksonville State ยท ESPN2
UTEP at Sam Houston ยท CBSSN
Tulsa at East Carolina ยท ESPN
Louisville at Miami ยท ESPN
Nebraska at Minnesota ยท FOX
San Josรฉ State at Utah State ยท CBSSN
North Carolina at California ยท ESPN
Washington at Michigan ยท FOX
UConn at Boston College ยท ACC Network
Arizona at Houston ยท FS1
Baylor at TCU ยท ESPN2
Army at Tulane ยท ESPNU
Central Michigan at Bowling Green ยท CBSSN
Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH) ยท ESPN+
West Virginia at UCF ยท TNT
Kent State at Toledo ยท ESPN+
Buffalo at Massachusetts ยท ESPN+
Purdue at Northwestern ยท BTN
Troy at UL Monroe ยท ESPN+
Ohio State at Wisconsin ยท CBS
Michigan State at Indiana ยท Peacock
SMU at Clemson ยท ACC Network
Wyoming at Air Force ยท CBSSN
UNLV at Boise State ยท FS1
Coastal Carolina at App State ยท ESPN+
Old Dominion at James Madison ยท ESPNU
Texas State at Marshall ยท ESPN+
Temple at Charlotte ยท ESPN+
UTSA at North Texas ยท ESPN+
Akron at Ball State ยท ESPN+
Northern Illinois at Ohio ยท ESPN+
Memphis at UAB ยท ESPN2
Southern Miss at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
Oregon at Rutgers ยท BTN
Washington State at Virginia ยท The CW Network
Penn State at Iowa ยท Peacock
Maryland at UCLA ยท FS1
Hawai'i at Colorado State
Georgia State at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN+
USC at Notre Dame ยท NBC
Pittsburgh at Syracuse ยท ACC Network
Florida Atlantic at South Florida ยท ESPNU
Missouri at Auburn ยท SEC Network
Utah at BYU ยท FOX
Cincinnati at Oklahoma State ยท ESPN2
Nevada at New Mexico ยท FS1
Florida State at Stanford ยท ESPN
The rooting list was:Texas, then Georgia, Vanderbilt, Arizona State, Duke.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8). How the model works.