#8Texas Longhorns
2–1 · 0–0 SEC
In the books
WEEK 4 · 2025
22%
SEC title game
9%
Win the SEC
83%
Make the playoff
7%
First-round bye
avg seed 7.1
How the week went: playoff odds 83% → 73% · title-game odds 22% → 37%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Texas's pathYour game
…
… · ESPN+
Sam Houston at #8 Texas
Your game. Beat Sam Houston and your playoff odds are 83%; lose and they drop to 60%.
Final · Sam Houston 0–55 TexasWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · NBC
Purdue at #24 Notre Dame
Purdue winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Purdue 30–56 Notre DameWent the other way ✗
Root for Purdue+6.1 pp playoff odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN
Tulane at #13 Ole Miss
Tulane winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Tulane 10–45 Ole MissWent the other way ✗
Root for Tulane+2.7 pp playoff odds
…
… · ABC
#22 Auburn at #11 Oklahoma
You still play Oklahoma in week 7.
Final · Auburn 17–24 OklahomaWent the other way ✗
Root for Auburn+1.7 pp playoff odds
…
… · ACC Network
Bowling Green at Louisville
Bowling Green winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Bowling Green 17–40 LouisvilleWent the other way ✗
Root for Bowling Green+1.5 pp playoff odds
45 more games that don't move your needle
Rice at Charlotte · ESPN
Tulsa at Oklahoma State · ESPN
Iowa at Rutgers · FOX
Arkansas at Memphis · ABC
Maryland at Wisconsin · NBC
Syracuse at Clemson · ESPN
SMU at TCU · ESPN
Texas Tech at Utah · FOX
UNLV at Miami (OH) · ESPNU
North Texas at Army · CBSSN
UAB at Tennessee · SEC Network
Oregon State at Oregon · BTN
Michigan at Nebraska · CBS
Kent State at Florida State · ACC Network
North Carolina at UCF · FOX
Ball State at UConn · CBSSN
James Madison at Liberty · ESPNU
Louisiana at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
Troy at Buffalo · ESPN+
Toledo at Western Michigan · ESPN+
NC State at Duke · ESPN2
Northern Illinois at Mississippi State · SEC Network
Temple at Georgia Tech · The CW Network
West Virginia at Kansas · FS1
Delaware at Florida International · ESPN+
Arkansas State at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
South Carolina at Missouri · ESPN
Marshall at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
Nevada at Western Kentucky · ESPN+
Boise State at Air Force · CBSSN
Coastal Carolina at South Alabama · ESPN+
Florida at Miami · ABC
Georgia State at Vanderbilt · ESPNU
Washington at Washington State · CBS
Illinois at Indiana · NBC
Stanford at Virginia · ACC Network
Arizona State at Baylor · FOX
BYU at East Carolina · ESPN2
Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
UL Monroe at UTEP · ESPN+
UTSA at Colorado State · FS1
Wyoming at Colorado · ESPN
California at San Diego State · CBSSN
Michigan State at USC · FOX
Fresno State at Hawai'i
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 4, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 4).