🏈 Fan Watch

#9Texas Longhorns

3–1 · 0–0 SEC
In the books
WEEK 6 · 2025
The Week 6 recap

Texas lost to Florida. Playoff odds moved from 73% to 15%.

Your game

Texas at Florida
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ESPN
playoff chanceEntering73%Win77%Loss57%
Texas
Texas 81%Florida 19%
Florida
Final · Texas 21–29 FloridaWent the other way ✗

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Texas wanted
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SEC Network
Impact 1
Rooted for
Kent State
at
Oklahoma
Final · Kent State 0–44 OklahomaWent the other way ✗
Projected 8.3-point playoff boost

Oklahoma won instead, so Texas did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection82% if Kent State won73% with the other result8.3-point differenceTexas playoff chance
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ABC
Impact 2
Rooted for
Kentucky
at
Georgia
Final · Kentucky 14–35 GeorgiaWent the other way ✗
Projected 9.3-point title-game boost

Georgia won instead, so Texas did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection45% if Kentucky won35% with the other result9.3-point differenceTexas SEC title-game chance
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ABC
Impact 3
Rooted for
Vanderbilt
at
Alabama
Final · Vanderbilt 14–30 AlabamaWent the other way ✗
Projected 7.5-point title-game boost

Alabama won instead, so Texas did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection42% if Vanderbilt won34% with the other result7.5-point differenceTexas SEC title-game chance
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SEC Network
Impact 4
Rooted for
Mississippi State
at
Texas A&M
Final · Mississippi State 9–31 Texas A&MWent the other way ✗
Projected 1.7-point playoff boost

Texas A&M won instead, so Texas did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection75% if Mississippi State won73% with the other result1.7-point differenceTexas playoff chance
45 other games had little impact
Miami at Florida State · ABC
Sam Houston at New Mexico State · CBSSN
Western Kentucky at Delaware · CBSSN
Charlotte at South Florida · ESPN2
New Mexico at San José State · FS1
West Virginia at BYU · ESPN
Colorado State at San Diego State · CBSSN
Wisconsin at Michigan · FOX
Illinois at Purdue · BTN
Boston College at Pittsburgh · ACC Network
Clemson at North Carolina · ESPN
Kansas State at Baylor · ESPN+
Iowa State at Cincinnati · ESPN2
Air Force at Navy · CBS
Army at UAB · ESPNU
Ohio at Ball State · CBSSN
Wake Forest at Virginia Tech · The CW Network
UTSA at Temple · ESPN+
Western Michigan at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Oklahoma State at Arizona · truTV
Penn State at UCLA · CBS
Washington at Maryland · BTN
UL Monroe at Northwestern · BTN
Oregon State at App State · ESPN+
Virginia at Louisville · ESPN2
Syracuse at SMU · ACC Network
Boise State at Notre Dame · NBC
Florida International at UConn · CBSSN
James Madison at Georgia State · ESPN+
Central Michigan at Akron · ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Buffalo · ESPN+
Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Michigan State at Nebraska · FS1
Texas State at Arkansas State · ESPNU
Coastal Carolina at Old Dominion · ESPN+
Texas Tech at Houston · ESPN
UNLV at Wyoming · CBSSN
South Alabama at Troy · ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at Rice · ESPN+
Minnesota at Ohio State · NBC
Colorado at TCU · FOX
Kansas at UCF · ESPN2
Tulsa at Memphis · ESPNU
Duke at California · ESPN
Nevada at Fresno State · CBSSN
The rooting list was:Texas, then Kent State, Kentucky, Vanderbilt, Mississippi State.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 6). How the model works.