🏈 Fan Watch

#7Texas Longhorns

0–1 · 0–0 SEC
In the books
WEEK 2 · 2025
The Week 2 recap

Texas beat San José State. Playoff odds moved from 60% to 68%.

Your game

San José State at Texas
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ABC
playoff chanceEntering60%Win61%Loss41%
San José State
San José State 7%Texas 93%
Texas
Final · San José State 7–38 TexasWish granted ✓

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Texas wanted
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ABC
Impact 1
Ole Miss
at
Rooted for
Kentucky
Final · Ole Miss 30–23 KentuckyWent the other way ✗
Projected 10.6-point title-game boost

Ole Miss won instead, so Texas did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection32% if Kentucky won22% with the other result11-point differenceTexas SEC title-game chance
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FS1
Impact 2
Rooted for
Kennesaw State
at
Indiana
Final · Kennesaw State 9–56 IndianaWent the other way ✗
Projected 3.3-point playoff boost

Indiana won instead, so Texas did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection63% if Kennesaw State won60% with the other result3.3-point differenceTexas playoff chance
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ESPN2
Impact 3
Arizona State
at
Rooted for
Mississippi State
Final · Arizona State 20–24 Mississippi StateWish granted ✓
Projected 1.5-point playoff boost

Mississippi State won and stayed ranked ahead of its Week 9 game against Texas.

Entering-week projection61% if Mississippi State won60% with the other result1.5-point differenceTexas playoff chance
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ESPN+
Impact 4
Arkansas State
at
Rooted for
Arkansas
Final · Arkansas State 14–56 ArkansasWish granted ✓
Projected 1.4-point playoff boost

Arkansas won and stayed ranked ahead of its Week 13 game against Texas.

Entering-week projection60% if Arkansas won59% with the other result1.4-point differenceTexas playoff chance
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ABC
Impact 5
Michigan
at
Rooted for
Oklahoma
Final · Michigan 13–24 OklahomaWish granted ✓
Projected 1.4-point playoff boost

Oklahoma won and stayed ranked ahead of its Week 7 game against Texas.

Entering-week projection61% if Oklahoma won59% with the other result1.4-point differenceTexas playoff chance
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ESPN
Impact 6
Illinois
at
Rooted for
Duke
Final · Illinois 45–19 DukeWent the other way ✗
Projected 1.3-point playoff boost

Illinois won instead, so Texas did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection61% if Duke won59% with the other result1.3-point differenceTexas playoff chance
43 other games had little impact
James Madison at Louisville · ESPN2
Northern Illinois at Maryland · BTN
Florida International at Penn State · BTN
Iowa at Iowa State · FOX
Virginia at NC State · ESPN2
Baylor at SMU · The CW Network
Central Michigan at Pittsburgh · ESPNU
UConn at Syracuse · ESPN+
Kent State at Texas Tech · TNT
Liberty at Jacksonville State · CBSSN
Utah State at Texas A&M · SEC Network
Kansas at Missouri · ESPN2
Miami (OH) at Rutgers · Peacock
Oklahoma State at Oregon · CBS
Fresno State at Oregon State · The CW Network
Troy at Clemson · ACC Network
Bowling Green at Cincinnati · ESPN+
Delaware at Colorado · FOX
Texas State at UTSA · ESPN+
UAB at Navy · CBSSN
North Texas at Western Michigan · ESPN+
Middle Tennessee at Wisconsin · FS1
West Virginia at Ohio · ESPNU
South Florida at Florida · SEC Network
Missouri State at Marshall · ESPN+
North Carolina at Charlotte · ESPN+
Army at Kansas State · ESPN
Houston at Rice · ESPN+
Western Kentucky at Toledo · ESPN+
Memphis at Georgia State · ESPN+
Tulane at South Alabama · ESPN+
Ball State at Auburn · ESPNU
Louisiana Tech at LSU · ESPN+
Vanderbilt at Virginia Tech · ACC Network
Akron at Nebraska · BTN
Georgia Southern at USC · FS1
Boston College at Michigan State · NBC
UL Monroe at Alabama · SEC Network
UCLA at UNLV · CBSSN
Tulsa at New Mexico State · ESPN+
San Diego State at Washington State · The CW Network
Stanford at BYU · ESPN
Sam Houston at Hawai'i
The rooting list was:Texas, then Kentucky, Kennesaw State, Mississippi State, Arkansas, Oklahoma, Duke.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 2, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 2). How the model works.