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#7Texas Longhorns

1–1 · 0–0 SEC
In the books
WEEK 3 · 2025
25%
SEC title game
10%
Win the SEC
97%
Make the playoff
5%
First-round bye
avg seed 6.7
How the week went: playoff odds 97% → 83% · title-game odds 25% → 22%.
Playoff odds by week
123

If Texas wins out: 48% to win the SEC, 100% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Texas's path
Your game
…
… · SEC Network
UTEP at #7 Texas

Your game. Beat UTEP and your playoff odds are 97%; lose and they drop to 87%.

Final · UTEP 10–27 TexasWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN
Arkansas at #17 Ole Miss

SEC race: Ole Miss losing helps your spot in the standings; Arkansas visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.

Final · Arkansas 35–41 Ole MissWent the other way ✗
Root for Arkansas+6.7 pp title-game odds
…
… · SEC Network
Vanderbilt at #11 South Carolina

SEC race: South Carolina losing helps your spot in the standings; Vanderbilt visits your schedule in week 10 — keep them ranked.

Final · Vanderbilt 31–7 South CarolinaWish granted ✓
Root for Vanderbilt+2.8 pp title-game odds
…
… · ABC
#6 Georgia at #15 Tennessee

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Tennessee winning protects it; you still play Georgia in week 12.

Final · Georgia 44–41 TennesseeWent the other way ✗
Root for Tennessee+3.2 pp first-round-bye odds
…
… · FOX
#4 Oregon at Northwestern

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Northwestern winning protects it.

Final · Oregon 34–14 NorthwesternWent the other way ✗
Root for Northwestern+2.5 pp first-round-bye odds
…
… · ABC
Florida at #3 LSU

SEC race: LSU losing helps your spot in the standings; Florida visits your schedule in week 6 — keep them ranked.

Final · Florida 10–20 LSUWent the other way ✗
Root for Florida+1.9 pp title-game odds
41 more games that don't move your needle
Texas A&M at Notre Dame · NBC
NC State at Wake Forest · ESPN
Colorado at Houston · ESPN
Kansas State at Arizona · FOX
New Mexico at UCLA · BTN
Wisconsin at Alabama · ABC
Oklahoma at Temple · ESPN2
Central Michigan at Michigan · BTN
Clemson at Georgia Tech · ESPN
Memphis at Troy · ESPNU
Buffalo at Kent State · CBSSN
South Alabama at Auburn · SEC Network
Louisiana at Missouri · ESPN+
UConn at Delaware · ESPN+
USC at Purdue · CBS
Oregon State at Texas Tech · FOX
Washington State at North Texas · ESPNU
SMU at Missouri State · CBSSN
Pittsburgh at West Virginia · ESPN
Iowa State at Arkansas State · ESPN2
South Florida at Miami · The CW Network
Liberty at Bowling Green · ESPN+
Middle Tennessee at Nevada
Florida Atlantic at Florida International · ESPN+
Ohio at Ohio State · Peacock
Western Michigan at Illinois · FS1
Old Dominion at Virginia Tech · ACC Network
Jacksonville State at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
App State at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Kentucky · ESPNU
Massachusetts at Iowa · BTN
New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
East Carolina at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
Duke at Tulane · ESPN2
Utah at Wyoming · CBSSN
Navy at Tulsa · ESPN+
Akron at UAB · ESPN+
Air Force at Utah State · FS1
Minnesota at California · ESPN
Boston College at Stanford · ACC Network
Texas State at Arizona State · TNT

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 3, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 3).