๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

SMU Mustangs

2โ€“2 ยท 0โ€“0 ACC
In the books
WEEK 6 ยท 2025
The Week 6 recap

SMU beat Syracuse. Playoff odds moved from 9% to 10%.

Your game

Syracuse at SMU
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ACC title-game chanceEntering20%Win23%Loss5%
Syracuse
Syracuse 13%SMU 87%
SMU
Final ยท Syracuse 18โ€“31 SMUWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result SMU wanted
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Impact 1
Duke
at
Rooted for
California
Final ยท Duke 45โ€“21 CaliforniaWent the other way โœ—
Projected 4.3-point title-game boost

Duke won instead, so SMU did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection23% if California won18% with the other result4.3-point differenceSMU ACC title-game chance
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Impact 2
Miami
at
Rooted for
Florida State
Final ยท Miami 28โ€“22 Florida StateWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.5-point playoff boost

Miami won instead, so SMU did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection11% if Florida State won9% with the other result2.5-point differenceSMU playoff chance
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Impact 3
Rooted for
Boston College
at
Pittsburgh
Final ยท Boston College 7โ€“48 PittsburghWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.4-point title-game boost

Pittsburgh won instead, so SMU did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection22% if Boston College won20% with the other result2.4-point differenceSMU ACC title-game chance
46 other games had little impact
Wake Forest at Virginia Tech ยท The CW Network
Virginia at Louisville ยท ESPN2
Clemson at North Carolina ยท ESPN
Sam Houston at New Mexico State ยท CBSSN
Western Kentucky at Delaware ยท CBSSN
Charlotte at South Florida ยท ESPN2
New Mexico at San Josรฉ State ยท FS1
West Virginia at BYU ยท ESPN
Colorado State at San Diego State ยท CBSSN
Kentucky at Georgia ยท ABC
Wisconsin at Michigan ยท FOX
Illinois at Purdue ยท BTN
Kansas State at Baylor ยท ESPN+
Iowa State at Cincinnati ยท ESPN2
Air Force at Navy ยท CBS
Army at UAB ยท ESPNU
Ohio at Ball State ยท CBSSN
UTSA at Temple ยท ESPN+
Western Michigan at Massachusetts ยท ESPN+
Oklahoma State at Arizona ยท truTV
Vanderbilt at Alabama ยท ABC
Texas at Florida ยท ESPN
Penn State at UCLA ยท CBS
Washington at Maryland ยท BTN
UL Monroe at Northwestern ยท BTN
Oregon State at App State ยท ESPN+
Boise State at Notre Dame ยท NBC
Florida International at UConn ยท CBSSN
James Madison at Georgia State ยท ESPN+
Central Michigan at Akron ยท ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Buffalo ยท ESPN+
Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois ยท ESPN+
Kent State at Oklahoma ยท SEC Network
Michigan State at Nebraska ยท FS1
Texas State at Arkansas State ยท ESPNU
Coastal Carolina at Old Dominion ยท ESPN+
Texas Tech at Houston ยท ESPN
UNLV at Wyoming ยท CBSSN
South Alabama at Troy ยท ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at Rice ยท ESPN+
Mississippi State at Texas A&M ยท SEC Network
Minnesota at Ohio State ยท NBC
Colorado at TCU ยท FOX
Kansas at UCF ยท ESPN2
Tulsa at Memphis ยท ESPNU
Nevada at Fresno State ยท CBSSN
The rooting list was:SMU, then California, Florida State, Boston College.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 6). How the model works.