๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

SMU Mustangs

1โ€“1 ยท 0โ€“0 ACC
In the books
WEEK 3 ยท 2025
The Week 3 recap

SMU beat Missouri State. Playoff odds moved from 16% to 14%.

Your game

SMU at Missouri State
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playoff chanceEntering16%Win17%Loss12%
SMU
SMU 82%Missouri State 18%
Missouri State
Final ยท SMU 28โ€“10 Missouri StateWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result SMU wanted
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Impact 1
NC State
at
Rooted for
Wake Forest
Final ยท NC State 34โ€“24 Wake ForestWent the other way โœ—
Projected 4.0-point title-game boost

NC State won instead, so SMU did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection33% if Wake Forest won29% with the other result4-point differenceSMU ACC title-game chance
45 other games had little impact
Clemson at Georgia Tech ยท ESPN
Colorado at Houston ยท ESPN
Kansas State at Arizona ยท FOX
New Mexico at UCLA ยท BTN
Wisconsin at Alabama ยท ABC
Oklahoma at Temple ยท ESPN2
Oregon at Northwestern ยท FOX
Central Michigan at Michigan ยท BTN
Memphis at Troy ยท ESPNU
Buffalo at Kent State ยท CBSSN
South Alabama at Auburn ยท SEC Network
Louisiana at Missouri ยท ESPN+
UConn at Delaware ยท ESPN+
Georgia at Tennessee ยท ABC
USC at Purdue ยท CBS
Oregon State at Texas Tech ยท FOX
Washington State at North Texas ยท ESPNU
Pittsburgh at West Virginia ยท ESPN
Iowa State at Arkansas State ยท ESPN2
UTEP at Texas ยท SEC Network
South Florida at Miami ยท The CW Network
Liberty at Bowling Green ยท ESPN+
Middle Tennessee at Nevada
Florida Atlantic at Florida International ยท ESPN+
Arkansas at Ole Miss ยท ESPN
Ohio at Ohio State ยท Peacock
Western Michigan at Illinois ยท FS1
Old Dominion at Virginia Tech ยท ACC Network
Jacksonville State at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN+
App State at Southern Miss ยท ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Kentucky ยท ESPNU
Florida at LSU ยท ABC
Texas A&M at Notre Dame ยท NBC
Massachusetts at Iowa ยท BTN
New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech ยท ESPN+
East Carolina at Coastal Carolina ยท ESPN+
Vanderbilt at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
Duke at Tulane ยท ESPN2
Utah at Wyoming ยท CBSSN
Navy at Tulsa ยท ESPN+
Akron at UAB ยท ESPN+
Air Force at Utah State ยท FS1
Minnesota at California ยท ESPN
Boston College at Stanford ยท ACC Network
Texas State at Arizona State ยท TNT
The rooting list was:SMU, then Wake Forest.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 3, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 3). How the model works.