SMU Mustangs
5–3 · 3–1 ACC
In the books
WEEK 10 · 2025
14%
ACC title game
9%
Win the ACC
9%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 10.8
How the week went: playoff odds 9% → 14% · title-game odds 14% → 20%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves SMU's pathYour game
…
… · ESPN
#10 Miami at SMU
Your game. Beat Miami and your playoff odds are 21%; lose and they drop to <1%. A loss ends it.
Final · Miami 20–26 SMUWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ACC Network
Duke at Clemson
ACC race: Duke losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Clemson — their wins make your résumé stronger.
Final · Duke 46–45 ClemsonWent the other way ✗
Root for Clemson+7.3 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN2
#15 Virginia at California
ACC race: Virginia losing helps your spot in the standings; California visits your schedule in week 14 — keep them ranked.
Final · Virginia 31–21 CaliforniaWent the other way ✗
Root for California+6.7 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN2
#8 Georgia Tech at NC State
NC State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Georgia Tech 36–48 NC StateWish granted ✓
Root for NC State+3.0 pp playoff odds
…
… · ACC Network
Pittsburgh at Stanford
You beat Stanford — their wins make your résumé stronger.
Final · Pittsburgh 35–20 StanfordWent the other way ✗
Root for Stanford+2.7 pp playoff odds
…
… · ACC Network
Wake Forest at Florida State
Wake Forest winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Wake Forest 7–42 Florida StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Wake Forest+1.8 pp playoff odds
46 more games that don't move your needle
North Carolina at Syracuse · ESPN
UTEP at Kennesaw State · ESPNU
James Madison at Texas State · ESPN2
Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee · ESPN2
Florida International at Missouri State · CBSSN
Marshall at Coastal Carolina · ESPN2
Tulane at UTSA · ESPN
Memphis at Rice · ESPN2
Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech · CBSSN
Vanderbilt at Texas · ABC
Penn State at Ohio State · FOX
Rutgers at Illinois · NBC
UCF at Baylor · ESPNU
West Virginia at Houston · FS1
UAB at UConn · CBSSN
Army at Air Force · CBS
Navy at North Texas · ESPN2
Buffalo at Bowling Green · ESPN+
Arizona State at Iowa State · TNT
East Carolina at Temple · ESPN+
Louisville at Virginia Tech · The CW Network
New Mexico at UNLV
Georgia at Florida · ABC
Indiana at Maryland · CBS
Michigan State at Minnesota · BTN
Notre Dame at Boston College · ESPN
Texas Tech at Kansas State · FOX
Delaware at Liberty · CBSSN
New Mexico State at Western Kentucky · ESPN+
Fresno State at Boise State · FS1
Old Dominion at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Louisiana at South Alabama · ESPN+
Mississippi State at Arkansas · SEC Network
Oklahoma State at Kansas · ESPN+
Central Michigan at Western Michigan · ESPNU
South Carolina at Ole Miss · ESPN
Purdue at Michigan · BTN
Arizona at Colorado · FS1
Wyoming at San Diego State · CBSSN
Kentucky at Auburn · SEC Network
Oklahoma at Tennessee · ABC
USC at Nebraska · NBC
Washington State at Oregon State · CBS
Arkansas State at Troy · ESPNU
Cincinnati at Utah · ESPN
Hawai'i at San José State · CBSSN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 10, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 10).