๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

James Madison Dukes

5โ€“1 ยท 3โ€“0 SUN BELT
In the books
WEEK 8 ยท 2025
The Week 8 recap

James Madison beat Old Dominion. Playoff odds moved from 10% to 25%.

Your game

Old Dominion at James Madison
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Sun Belt title-game chanceEntering54%Win67%Loss18%
Old Dominion
Old Dominion 28%James Madison 72%
James Madison
Final ยท Old Dominion 27โ€“63 James MadisonWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result James Madison wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
Texas State
at
Marshall
Final ยท Texas State 37โ€“40 MarshallWent the other way โœ—
Projected 15.1-point title-game boost

Marshall won instead, so James Madison did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection63% if Texas State won48% with the other result15-point differenceJames Madison Sun Belt title-game chance
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Impact 2
Memphis
at
Rooted for
UAB
Final ยท Memphis 24โ€“31 UABWish granted โœ“
Projected 2.4-point playoff boost

UAB won, thinning out the at-large competition for James Madison's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection13% if UAB won10% with the other result2.4-point differenceJames Madison playoff chance
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Impact 3
Rooted for
Florida Atlantic
at
South Florida
Final ยท Florida Atlantic 13โ€“48 South FloridaWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.5-point playoff boost

South Florida won instead, so James Madison did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection12% if Florida Atlantic won10% with the other result1.5-point differenceJames Madison playoff chance
55 other games had little impact
New Mexico State at Liberty ยท CBSSN
Arkansas State at South Alabama ยท ESPN2
Florida International at Western Kentucky ยท ESPNU
Delaware at Jacksonville State ยท ESPN2
UTEP at Sam Houston ยท CBSSN
Tulsa at East Carolina ยท ESPN
Louisville at Miami ยท ESPN
Nebraska at Minnesota ยท FOX
San Josรฉ State at Utah State ยท CBSSN
North Carolina at California ยท ESPN
LSU at Vanderbilt ยท ABC
Washington at Michigan ยท FOX
Georgia Tech at Duke ยท ESPN
UConn at Boston College ยท ACC Network
Arizona at Houston ยท FS1
Baylor at TCU ยท ESPN2
Army at Tulane ยท ESPNU
Central Michigan at Bowling Green ยท CBSSN
Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH) ยท ESPN+
Oklahoma at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
West Virginia at UCF ยท TNT
Kent State at Toledo ยท ESPN+
Buffalo at Massachusetts ยท ESPN+
Purdue at Northwestern ยท BTN
Troy at UL Monroe ยท ESPN+
Texas A&M at Arkansas ยท ESPN
Ole Miss at Georgia ยท ABC
Ohio State at Wisconsin ยท CBS
Michigan State at Indiana ยท Peacock
SMU at Clemson ยท ACC Network
Wyoming at Air Force ยท CBSSN
UNLV at Boise State ยท FS1
Coastal Carolina at App State ยท ESPN+
Temple at Charlotte ยท ESPN+
UTSA at North Texas ยท ESPN+
Akron at Ball State ยท ESPN+
Northern Illinois at Ohio ยท ESPN+
Texas Tech at Arizona State ยท FOX
Mississippi State at Florida ยท SEC Network
Southern Miss at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
Oregon at Rutgers ยท BTN
Washington State at Virginia ยท The CW Network
Texas at Kentucky ยท ESPN
Penn State at Iowa ยท Peacock
Maryland at UCLA ยท FS1
Hawai'i at Colorado State
Georgia State at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN+
Tennessee at Alabama ยท ABC
USC at Notre Dame ยท NBC
Pittsburgh at Syracuse ยท ACC Network
Missouri at Auburn ยท SEC Network
Utah at BYU ยท FOX
Cincinnati at Oklahoma State ยท ESPN2
Nevada at New Mexico ยท FS1
Florida State at Stanford ยท ESPN
The rooting list was:James Madison, then Texas State, UAB, Florida Atlantic.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8). How the model works.