๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

James Madison Dukes

1โ€“0 ยท 0โ€“0 SUN BELT
In the books
WEEK 2 ยท 2025
The Week 2 recap

James Madison lost to Louisville. Playoff odds moved from 13% to 9%.

Your game

James Madison at Louisville
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playoff chanceEntering13%Win18%Loss11%
James Madison
James Madison 29%Louisville 71%
Louisville
Final ยท James Madison 14โ€“28 LouisvilleWent the other way โœ—

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result James Madison wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
Missouri State
at
Marshall
Final ยท Missouri State 21โ€“20 MarshallWish granted โœ“
Projected 2.6-point title-game boost

Marshall lost, improving James Madison's place in the Sun Belt standings.

Entering-week projection49% if Missouri State won47% with the other result2.6-point differenceJames Madison Sun Belt title-game chance
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Impact 2
Rooted for
Tulsa
at
New Mexico State
Final ยท Tulsa 14โ€“21 New Mexico StateWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.3-point playoff boost

New Mexico State won instead, so James Madison did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection14% if Tulsa won13% with the other result1.3-point differenceJames Madison playoff chance
47 other games had little impact
UAB at Navy ยท CBSSN
Northern Illinois at Maryland ยท BTN
San Josรฉ State at Texas ยท ABC
Florida International at Penn State ยท BTN
Kennesaw State at Indiana ยท FS1
Iowa at Iowa State ยท FOX
Illinois at Duke ยท ESPN
Virginia at NC State ยท ESPN2
Baylor at SMU ยท The CW Network
Central Michigan at Pittsburgh ยท ESPNU
UConn at Syracuse ยท ESPN+
Kent State at Texas Tech ยท TNT
Liberty at Jacksonville State ยท CBSSN
Utah State at Texas A&M ยท SEC Network
Ole Miss at Kentucky ยท ABC
Kansas at Missouri ยท ESPN2
Miami (OH) at Rutgers ยท Peacock
Oklahoma State at Oregon ยท CBS
Fresno State at Oregon State ยท The CW Network
Troy at Clemson ยท ACC Network
Bowling Green at Cincinnati ยท ESPN+
Delaware at Colorado ยท FOX
Texas State at UTSA ยท ESPN+
North Texas at Western Michigan ยท ESPN+
Middle Tennessee at Wisconsin ยท FS1
West Virginia at Ohio ยท ESPNU
South Florida at Florida ยท SEC Network
Arkansas State at Arkansas ยท ESPN+
North Carolina at Charlotte ยท ESPN+
Army at Kansas State ยท ESPN
Houston at Rice ยท ESPN+
Western Kentucky at Toledo ยท ESPN+
Memphis at Georgia State ยท ESPN+
Tulane at South Alabama ยท ESPN+
Ball State at Auburn ยท ESPNU
Louisiana Tech at LSU ยท ESPN+
Arizona State at Mississippi State ยท ESPN2
Michigan at Oklahoma ยท ABC
Vanderbilt at Virginia Tech ยท ACC Network
Akron at Nebraska ยท BTN
Georgia Southern at USC ยท FS1
Boston College at Michigan State ยท NBC
UL Monroe at Alabama ยท SEC Network
UCLA at UNLV ยท CBSSN
San Diego State at Washington State ยท The CW Network
Stanford at BYU ยท ESPN
Sam Houston at Hawai'i
The rooting list was:James Madison, then Missouri State, Tulsa.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 2, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 2). How the model works.