🏈 Fan Watch

James Madison Dukes

9–1 · 7–0 SUN BELT
In the books
WEEK 13 · 2025
The Week 13 recap

James Madison beat Washington State. Playoff odds moved from 39% to 31%.

James Madison has clinched a spot in the Sun Belt championship game.

Your game

Washington State at James Madison
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ESPN+
playoff chanceEntering39%Win42%Loss8%
Washington State
Washington State 7%James Madison 93%
James Madison
Final · Washington State 20–24 James MadisonWish granted ✓

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result James Madison wanted
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ESPNU
Impact 1
Tulane
at
Rooted for
Temple
Final · Tulane 37–13 TempleWent the other way ✗
Projected 7.5-point playoff boost

Tulane won instead, so James Madison did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection45% if Temple won37% with the other result7.5-point differenceJames Madison playoff chance
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ESPNU
Impact 2
North Texas
at
Rooted for
Rice
Final · North Texas 56–24 RiceWent the other way ✗
Projected 3.7-point playoff boost

North Texas won instead, so James Madison did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection43% if Rice won39% with the other result3.7-point differenceJames Madison playoff chance
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ESPN
Impact 3
Rooted for
Pittsburgh
at
Georgia Tech
Final · Pittsburgh 42–28 Georgia TechWish granted ✓
Projected 3.5-point playoff boost

Pittsburgh won, thinning out the at-large competition for James Madison's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection41% if Pittsburgh won37% with the other result3.5-point differenceJames Madison playoff chance
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ESPN+
Impact 4
Georgia State
at
Rooted for
Troy
Final · Georgia State 19–31 TroyWish granted ✓
Projected 1.7-point playoff boost

Georgia State lost again, helping keep them behind James Madison.

Entering-week projection39% if Troy won38% with the other result1.7-point differenceJames Madison playoff chance
55 other games had little impact
Duke at North Carolina · ACC Network
Akron at Bowling Green · ESPNU
Massachusetts at Ohio · CBSSN
Western Michigan at Northern Illinois · ESPN2
Miami (OH) at Buffalo · ESPN2
Central Michigan at Kent State · ESPNU
Louisiana at Arkansas State · ESPN
Florida State at NC State · ESPN
Hawai'i at UNLV · FS1
Missouri at Oklahoma · ABC
Minnesota at Northwestern · BTN
Rutgers at Ohio State · FOX
Louisville at SMU · ESPN2
Miami at Virginia Tech · ESPN
Delaware at Wake Forest · ACC Network
Kansas at Iowa State · FS1
Tulsa at Army · CBSSN
Charlotte at Georgia · SEC Network
Baylor at Arizona · TNT
Old Dominion at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
Missouri State at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
Nevada at Wyoming
Ball State at Toledo · ESPN+
Marshall at App State · ESPN+
UConn at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Liberty at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
New Mexico State at UTEP · ESPN+
South Florida at UAB · ESPN+
Arkansas at Texas · ABC
Kentucky at Vanderbilt · ESPN
USC at Oregon · CBS
Michigan State at Iowa · FS1
Syracuse at Notre Dame · NBC
Jacksonville State at Florida International · CBSSN
Southern Miss at South Alabama · ESPN+
East Carolina at UTSA · ESPN+
Michigan at Maryland · BTN
TCU at Houston · FOX
Oklahoma State at UCF · ESPN+
Kansas State at Utah · ESPN2
Coastal Carolina at South Carolina · SEC Network
UL Monroe at Texas State · ESPN+
Nebraska at Penn State · NBC
New Mexico at Air Force · CBSSN
Colorado State at Boise State · FS1
Tennessee at Florida · ABC
Illinois at Wisconsin · BTN
California at Stanford · ACC Network
Western Kentucky at LSU · SEC Network
BYU at Cincinnati · FOX
Arizona State at Colorado · ESPN2
Washington at UCLA · NBC
Utah State at Fresno State · CBSSN
San José State at San Diego State · FS1
The rooting list was:James Madison, then Temple, Rice, Pittsburgh, Troy.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 13, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 13). How the model works.