James Madison Dukes
8–1 · 6–0 SUN BELT
In the books
WEEK 12 · 2025
96%
Sun Belt title game
86%
Win the Sun Belt
56%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.8
How the week went: playoff odds 56% → 69% · title-game odds 96% → 100%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves James Madison's pathYour game
…
… · ESPN+
App State at James Madison
Your game. Beat App State and your playoff odds are 57%; lose and they drop to 27%.
Final · App State 10–58 James MadisonWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · ESPN2
#24 South Florida at Navy
Navy winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · South Florida 38–41 NavyWish granted ✓
Root for Navy+31.3 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN2
#19 Virginia at Duke
Duke winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Virginia 34–17 DukeWent the other way ✗
Root for Duke+11.3 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at Georgia Southern
Sun Belt race: Coastal Carolina losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Georgia Southern — their wins make your résumé stronger; you still play Coastal Carolina in week 14.
Final · Coastal Carolina 40–45 Georgia SouthernWish granted ✓
Root for Georgia Southern+9.0 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN+
North Texas at UAB
North Texas winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · North Texas 53–24 UABWish granted ✓
Root for North Texas+2.4 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
Clemson at #20 Louisville
Louisville losing softens the sting of your loss to them.
Final · Clemson 20–19 LouisvilleWish granted ✓
Root for Clemson+1.4 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
Troy at Old Dominion
You beat Old Dominion — their wins make your résumé stronger; you still play Troy in week 15.
Final · Troy 0–33 Old DominionWish granted ✓
Root for Old Dominion+1.3 pp playoff odds
51 more games that don't move your needle
Kent State at Akron · ESPNU
Ohio at Western Michigan · ESPN2
Buffalo at Central Michigan · CBSSN
Northern Illinois at Massachusetts · ESPNU
Toledo at Miami (OH) · ESPN2
Minnesota at Oregon · FOX
South Carolina at Texas A&M · ESPN
Wisconsin at Indiana · BTN
Michigan at Northwestern · FOX
Notre Dame at Pittsburgh · ABC
Arizona at Cincinnati · FS1
Kansas State at Oklahoma State · ESPNU
Air Force at UConn · CBSSN
UTSA at Charlotte · ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Ball State · ESPN+
Arkansas at LSU · SEC Network
Oregon State at Tulsa · The CW Network
West Virginia at Arizona State · truTV
Marshall at Georgia State · ESPN+
UTEP at Missouri State · ESPN+
Colorado State at New Mexico
Oklahoma at Alabama · ABC
Penn State at Michigan State · CBS
Maryland at Illinois · FS1
Iowa at USC · BTN
Georgia Tech at Boston College · ACC Network
NC State at Miami · ESPN
UCF at Texas Tech · FOX
Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky · ESPN+
San José State at Nevada · CBSSN
South Alabama at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Texas State at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Memphis at East Carolina · ESPNU
Florida Atlantic at Tulane · ESPN+
New Mexico State at Tennessee · SEC Network
North Carolina at Wake Forest · The CW Network
Liberty at Florida International · ESPN+
Florida at Ole Miss · ESPN
Purdue at Washington · FS1
Utah at Baylor · ESPN2
Delaware at Sam Houston · ESPN+
Utah State at UNLV · CBSSN
Texas at Georgia · ABC
UCLA at Ohio State · NBC
Virginia Tech at Florida State · ACC Network
Mississippi State at Missouri · SEC Network
Kennesaw State at Jacksonville State · ESPNU
Louisiana Tech at Washington State · The CW Network
TCU at BYU · ESPN
Boise State at San Diego State · CBSSN
Wyoming at Fresno State · FS1
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 12, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 12).