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James Madison Dukes

21 · 00 SUN BELT
In the books
WEEK 5 · 2025
49%
Sun Belt title game
32%
Win the Sun Belt
19%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.9
How the week went: playoff odds 19%26% · title-game odds 49%61%.
Playoff odds by week

If James Madison wins out: 71% to win the Sun Belt, 64% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves James Madison's path
Your game
· ESPN+
Georgia Southern at James Madison

Your game. Beat Georgia Southern and your playoff odds are 21%; lose and they drop to 6%.

Final · Georgia Southern 1035 James MadisonWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
· ESPN+
Marshall at Louisiana

Sun Belt race: Marshall losing helps your spot in the standings; Louisiana visits your schedule in week 7 — keep them ranked.

Final · Marshall 5154 LouisianaWish granted ✓
Root for Louisiana+8.2 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
· ESPN2
Memphis at Florida Atlantic

Florida Atlantic winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Memphis 5526 Florida AtlanticWent the other way ✗
Root for Florida Atlantic+3.8 pp playoff odds
· ESPN+
Liberty at Old Dominion

Sun Belt race: Old Dominion losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Liberty — their wins make your résumé stronger; you still play Old Dominion in week 8.

Final · Liberty 721 Old DominionWent the other way ✗
Root for Liberty+2.4 pp title-game odds
47 more games that don't move your needle
Army at East Carolina · ESPN
Florida State at Virginia · ESPN
TCU at Arizona State · FOX
Houston at Oregon State · ESPN
Notre Dame at Arkansas · ABC
Rutgers at Minnesota · BTN
USC at Illinois · FOX
Duke at Syracuse · ACC Network
Georgia Tech at Wake Forest · ESPN
Louisville at Pittsburgh · ESPN2
Cincinnati at Kansas · TNT
UCF at Kansas State · FS1
South Alabama at North Texas · ESPNU
Bowling Green at Ohio · CBSSN
Utah State at Vanderbilt · SEC Network
Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Arkansas State at UL Monroe · ESPN+
LSU at Ole Miss · ABC
Auburn at Texas A&M · ESPN
UCLA at Northwestern · BTN
Ohio State at Washington · CBS
Indiana at Iowa · Peacock
California at Boston College · ACC Network
Baylor at Oklahoma State · ESPN2
Utah at West Virginia · FOX
UConn at Buffalo · ESPN+
San Diego State at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Rice at Navy · CBSSN
Akron at Toledo · ESPN+
New Mexico State at New Mexico
Hawai'i at Air Force · FS1
Tulane at Tulsa · ESPNU
Tennessee at Mississippi State · SEC Network
Middle Tennessee at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
Virginia Tech at NC State · The CW Network
Arizona at Iowa State · ESPN
Jacksonville State at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Western Kentucky at Missouri State · ESPN+
Alabama at Georgia · ABC
Massachusetts at Missouri · ESPNU
Oregon at Penn State · NBC
Washington State at Colorado State · CBSSN
San José State at Stanford · ACC Network
App State at Boise State · FS1
Kentucky at South Carolina · SEC Network
Louisiana Tech at UTEP · ESPN+
BYU at Colorado · ESPN

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 5).