Oregon Ducks

0–0 · 0–0 BIG TEN

Preseason

WEEK 9 · 2026

The Week 9 job

Beat Northwestern and avoid turning a likely win into a season problem.

TBD

SAT OCT 31

TV TBA

playoff chanceNow70%Win73%Loss47%

Northwestern

Northwestern 10%Oregon 90%

Oregon

By importanceWatch plan

TBD

SAT OCT 31

TV TBA

Priority 1

Root for

Ohio State

at

USC

Root for Ohio State3.0-point playoff boost

Ohio State visits your schedule in week 10: keep them ranked.

72% if Ohio State wins69% with the other result3-point differenceOregon playoff chance

TBD

SAT OCT 31

TV TBA

Priority 2

Root for

Minnesota

at

Indiana

Root for Minnesota3.5-point title-game boost

Big Ten race: Indiana losing helps your spot in the standings.

37% if Minnesota wins34% with the other result3.5-point differenceOregon Big Ten title-game chance

TBD

SAT OCT 31

TV TBA

Priority 3

Root for

Michigan

at

Rutgers

Root for Michigan1.9-point playoff boost

Michigan visits your schedule in week 11: keep them ranked.

71% if Michigan wins69% with the other result1.9-point differenceOregon playoff chance

…

…

TV TBA

Priority 4

Root for

Navy

at

Notre Dame

Root for Navy2.9-point first-round-bye boost

You're close to a playoff lock: the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Navy winning protects it.

27% if Navy wins24% with the other result2.9-point differenceOregon first-round bye chance

TBD

SAT OCT 31

TV TBA

Priority 5

Root for

Washington

at

Nebraska

Root for Washington1.6-point playoff boost

Washington visits your schedule in week 13: keep them ranked.

71% if Washington wins69% with the other result1.6-point differenceOregon playoff chance

TBD

SAT OCT 31

TV TBA

Priority 6

Root for

Arizona

at

Texas Tech

Root for Arizona2.2-point first-round-bye boost

You're close to a playoff lock: the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Arizona winning protects it.

26% if Arizona wins24% with the other result2.2-point differenceOregon first-round bye chance

TBD

SAT OCT 31

TV TBA

Priority 7

Root for

Wisconsin

at

Iowa

Root for Wisconsin1.9-point title-game boost

Big Ten race: Iowa losing helps your spot in the standings.

36% if Wisconsin wins34% with the other result1.9-point differenceOregon Big Ten title-game chance

46 more games that don't move your needle

Auburn at Ole Miss

Delaware at Western Kentucky · CBSSN

Sam Houston at Missouri State · ESPN2

Jacksonville State at New Mexico State · ESPN2

Kennesaw State at Middle Tennessee · CBSSN

Florida Atlantic at North Texas

Troy at James Madison

Tulane at Charlotte · ESPN2

Missouri at Arkansas

Florida at Georgia · ABC

South Carolina at Oklahoma

Mississippi State at Texas

Arizona State at BYU

Baylor at UCF · ESPN

Kansas at TCU

Kansas State at Colorado

Oklahoma State at Iowa State

Utah at Cincinnati

California at NC State

SMU at Syracuse

Boston College at Duke

Clemson at Florida State

Georgia Tech at Pittsburgh

Miami at North Carolina

Stanford at Louisville

Virginia at Wake Forest

Illinois at Maryland

Purdue at Penn State

Nevada at UCLA

Texas State at Boise State · The CW Network

Washington State at San Diego State · CBSSN

Colorado State at Utah State · USA Network

Oregon State at Fresno State · USA Network

UConn at Air Force · MW+

Army at Memphis

Temple at East Carolina

UAB at South Florida

New Mexico at San José State · MW+

Northern Illinois at UNLV · CBSSN

Bowling Green at Western Michigan · CBSSN

App State at Georgia Southern

Coastal Carolina at Georgia State

Florida International at Liberty · CBSSN

Southern Miss at UL Monroe

Marshall at Old Dominion

Louisiana Tech at South Alabama

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 9, with preseason ratings projected from last season. How the model works.