Oregon Ducks
0–0 · 0–0 BIG TEN
Way too early
WEEK 9 · 2026
39%
Big Ten title game
18%
Win the Big Ten
>99%
Make the playoff
30%
First-round bye
avg seed 5.2
Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-9 job: beat Northwestern.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Oregon's pathYour game
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Northwestern at Oregon
Your game. Beat Northwestern and your playoff odds are >99%; lose and they drop to 97%.
Oregon 95%
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Arizona at Texas Tech
You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Arizona winning protects it.
Texas Tech 91%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Ohio State at USC
Big Ten race: Ohio State losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Ohio State in week 10.
Ohio State 71%
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Minnesota at Indiana
Big Ten race: Indiana losing helps your spot in the standings.
Indiana 97%
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Florida at Georgia
You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Florida winning protects it.
Georgia 90%
49 more games that don't move your needle
Delaware at Western Kentucky
Sam Houston at Missouri State
Jacksonville State at New Mexico State
Kennesaw State at Middle Tennessee
Florida Atlantic at North Texas
Troy at James Madison
Tulane at Charlotte
Missouri at Arkansas
Auburn at Ole Miss
South Carolina at Oklahoma
Mississippi State at Texas
Arizona State at BYU
Baylor at UCF
Kansas at TCU
Kansas State at Colorado
Oklahoma State at Iowa State
Utah at Cincinnati
California at NC State
SMU at Syracuse
Boston College at Duke
Clemson at Florida State
Georgia Tech at Pittsburgh
Miami at North Carolina
Stanford at Louisville
Virginia at Wake Forest
Wisconsin at Iowa
Illinois at Maryland
Washington at Nebraska
Purdue at Penn State
Michigan at Rutgers
Nevada at UCLA
Navy at Notre Dame
Texas State at Boise State
Washington State at San Diego State
Colorado State at Utah State
Oregon State at Fresno State
UConn at Air Force
Army at Memphis
Temple at East Carolina
UAB at South Florida
New Mexico at San José State
Northern Illinois at UNLV
Bowling Green at Western Michigan
App State at Georgia Southern
Coastal Carolina at Georgia State
Florida International at Liberty
Southern Miss at UL Monroe
Marshall at Old Dominion
Louisiana Tech at South Alabama
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 9, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.