Oregon Ducks

0–0 · 0–0 BIG TEN

Preseason

WEEK 4 · 2026

The Week 4 job

Beat USC and keep Oregon's season in its own hands.

TBD

SAT SEP 26

TV TBA

Big Ten title-game chanceNow34%Win49%Loss15%

Oregon

Oregon 56%USC 44%

USC

By importanceWatch plan

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FOX

Priority 1

Root for

Northwestern

at

Indiana

Root for Northwestern8.6-point title-game boost

Big Ten race: Indiana losing helps your spot in the standings; Northwestern visits your schedule in week 9: keep them ranked.

42% if Northwestern wins34% with the other result8.6-point differenceOregon Big Ten title-game chance

TBD

SAT SEP 26

TV TBA

Priority 2

Root for

Illinois

at

Ohio State

Root for Illinois4.6-point title-game boost

Big Ten race: Ohio State losing helps your spot in the standings; Illinois visits your schedule in week 8: keep them ranked.

38% if Illinois wins34% with the other result4.6-point differenceOregon Big Ten title-game chance

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SEC Network

Priority 3

Root for

South Alabama

at

Kentucky

Root for South Alabama2.1-point playoff boost

South Alabama winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

72% if South Alabama wins70% with the other result2.1-point differenceOregon playoff chance

TBD

SAT SEP 26

TV TBA

Priority 4

Notre Dame

at

Root for

Purdue

Root for Purdue3.6-point first-round-bye boost

You're close to a playoff lock: the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Purdue winning protects it.

28% if Purdue wins24% with the other result3.6-point differenceOregon first-round bye chance

TBD

SAT SEP 26

TV TBA

Priority 5

Iowa

at

Root for

Michigan

Root for Michigan2.5-point title-game boost

Big Ten race: Iowa losing helps your spot in the standings; Michigan visits your schedule in week 11: keep them ranked.

35% if Michigan wins33% with the other result2.5-point differenceOregon Big Ten title-game chance

TBD

SAT SEP 26

TV TBA

Priority 6

Root for

Wisconsin

at

Penn State

Root for Wisconsin2.2-point title-game boost

Big Ten race: Penn State losing helps your spot in the standings.

36% if Wisconsin wins34% with the other result2.2-point differenceOregon Big Ten title-game chance

TBD

SAT SEP 26

TV TBA

Priority 7

Ole Miss

at

Root for

Florida

Root for Florida1.3-point playoff boost

Florida winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

71% if Florida wins70% with the other result1.3-point differenceOregon playoff chance

49 more games that don't move your needle

Minnesota at Washington

Nebraska at Michigan State

Liberty at Coastal Carolina · ESPN

Clemson at California · ESPN

Navy at UAB · ESPN

South Carolina at Alabama

Tulsa at Arkansas · SECN+

Vanderbilt at Auburn

Oklahoma at Georgia

Texas A&M at LSU

Missouri at Mississippi State

Texas at Tennessee

Arizona at Washington State · CBS

Sam Houston at Texas Tech

Houston at Georgia Southern

Colorado at Baylor

Kansas State at Cincinnati

TCU at UCF

Utah at Iowa State

Oklahoma State at West Virginia

Central Michigan at Miami · The CW Network

Delaware at Virginia

Georgia Tech at Stanford · ESPN

Missouri State at SMU

Virginia Tech at Boston College

Wake Forest at Louisville

UCLA at Maryland

Rice at Fresno State · The CW Network

San Diego State at Toledo

Troy at Utah State · CBSSN

Oregon State at UTEP · MW+

Colorado State at UTSA

Boise State at Western Michigan

UConn at Miami (OH)

Army at Temple · ESPN

Louisiana at Charlotte

Florida Atlantic at UL Monroe

Southern Miss at Tulane

South Florida at Bowling Green

Air Force at Nevada

Hawai'i at Wyoming · The CW Network

Northern Illinois at Georgia State

UNLV at Akron

App State at NC State

New Mexico at New Mexico State · CBSSN

Ball State at Kent State

Kennesaw State at Arkansas State

James Madison at Old Dominion

Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State · ESPN+

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 4, with preseason ratings projected from last season. How the model works.