Oregon Ducks
0–0 · 0–0 BIG TEN
Way too early
WEEK 8 · 2026
39%
Big Ten title game
18%
Win the Big Ten
>99%
Make the playoff
30%
First-round bye
avg seed 5.2
Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-8 job: beat Illinois.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Oregon's pathYour game
TBD
SAT OCT 24
Oregon at Illinois
Your game. Beat Illinois and your playoff odds are >99%; lose and they drop to 97%.
Oregon 88%
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
TBD
SAT OCT 24
Indiana at Michigan
Big Ten race: Indiana losing helps your spot in the standings; Michigan visits your schedule in week 11 — keep them ranked.
Indiana 80%
TBD
SAT OCT 24
Texas Tech at Cincinnati
You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Cincinnati winning protects it.
Texas Tech 91%
51 more games that don't move your needle
Ole Miss at Texas
USC at Wisconsin
Middle Tennessee at Florida International
Missouri State at Delaware
South Alabama at Marshall
Liberty at Kennesaw State
New Mexico State at Sam Houston
East Carolina at Memphis
James Madison at App State
Duke at Virginia
NC State at Stanford
Army at Tulsa
Texas A&M at Alabama
LSU at Auburn
Vanderbilt at Kentucky
Oklahoma at Mississippi State
Tennessee at South Carolina
Baylor at Kansas
BYU at UCF
Colorado at Oklahoma State
Houston at Utah
Iowa State at Arizona
Kansas State at Arizona State
West Virginia at TCU
California at SMU
Boston College at Georgia Tech
Pittsburgh at Miami
Syracuse at North Carolina
Virginia Tech at Clemson
Iowa at Minnesota
Rutgers at Northwestern
Michigan State at UCLA
San Diego State at Colorado State
Utah State at Texas State
Boise State at Washington State
Massachusetts at UConn
Rice at Florida Atlantic
North Texas at Navy
UTSA at Tulane
Air Force at Wyoming
Hawai'i at Northern Illinois
San José State at Nevada
Akron at Kent State
Bowling Green at Buffalo
Eastern Michigan at Ohio
Western Michigan at Toledo
Miami (OH) at Central Michigan
Georgia State at Arkansas State
Louisiana at Southern Miss
Old Dominion at Louisiana Tech
UL Monroe at Troy
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.