Oregon Ducks

0–0 · 0–0 BIG TEN

Preseason

WEEK 6 · 2026

The Week 6 job

Beat UCLA and avoid turning a likely win into a season problem.

TBD

SAT OCT 10

TV TBA

playoff chanceNow70%Win71%Loss50%

UCLA

UCLA 4%Oregon 96%

Oregon

By importanceWatch plan

TBD

SAT OCT 10

TV TBA

Priority 1

Indiana

at

Root for

Nebraska

Root for Nebraska7.8-point title-game boost

Big Ten race: Indiana losing helps your spot in the standings; Nebraska visits your schedule in week 7: keep them ranked.

41% if Nebraska wins33% with the other result7.8-point differenceOregon Big Ten title-game chance

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NBC

Priority 2

Root for

Stanford

at

Notre Dame

Root for Stanford6.2-point first-round-bye boost

You're close to a playoff lock: the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Stanford winning protects it.

30% if Stanford wins24% with the other result6.2-point differenceOregon first-round bye chance

TBD

SAT OCT 10

TV TBA

Priority 3

Root for

Maryland

at

Ohio State

Root for Maryland5.2-point title-game boost

Big Ten race: Ohio State losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Ohio State in week 10.

39% if Maryland wins34% with the other result5.2-point differenceOregon Big Ten title-game chance

TBD

SAT OCT 10

TV TBA

Priority 4

Root for

USC

at

Penn State

Root for USC2.8-point title-game boost

Big Ten race: Penn State losing helps your spot in the standings.

36% if USC wins33% with the other result2.8-point differenceOregon Big Ten title-game chance

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…

TV TBA

Priority 5

Iowa

at

Root for

Washington

Root for Washington2.6-point title-game boost

Big Ten race: Iowa losing helps your spot in the standings; Washington visits your schedule in week 13: keep them ranked.

35% if Washington wins33% with the other result2.6-point differenceOregon Big Ten title-game chance

TBD

SAT OCT 10

TV TBA

Priority 6

UAB

at

Root for

Memphis

Root for Memphis1.5-point playoff boost

Memphis winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

71% if Memphis wins69% with the other result1.5-point differenceOregon playoff chance

TBD

SAT OCT 10

TV TBA

Priority 7

Texas A&M

at

Root for

Missouri

Root for Missouri1.2-point playoff boost

Missouri winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

71% if Missouri wins70% with the other result1.2-point differenceOregon playoff chance

48 more games that don't move your needle

Iowa State at BYU · ESPN

LSU at Kentucky

Southern Miss at Troy · ESPN2

Jacksonville State at Kennesaw State · CBSSN

New Mexico State at Florida International · ESPN2

South Florida at UTSA

South Alabama at Arkansas State

Sam Houston at Liberty · ESPNU

Missouri State at Western Kentucky · CBSSN

Florida State at Louisville · ESPN

Washington State at Utah State · The CW Network

Georgia at Alabama

Tennessee at Arkansas

South Carolina at Florida

Texas at Oklahoma

Ole Miss at Vanderbilt

Hawai'i at Arizona State

Arizona at West Virginia

UCF at Oklahoma State

Houston at Kansas State

Kansas at Utah

Duke at Georgia Tech

North Carolina at Pittsburgh

Syracuse at Virginia

Virginia Tech at California

Wake Forest at NC State

Illinois at Michigan State

Ball State at Northwestern

Minnesota at Purdue

Boise State at Fresno State · The CW Network

San Diego State at Oregon State · USA Network

UConn at Temple

Tulane at Army · CBSSN

Charlotte at North Texas

Rice at East Carolina

Tulsa at Navy · CBSSN

Air Force at Northern Illinois · CBSSN

Nevada at UTEP

Wyoming at San José State · CBSSN

Eastern Michigan at Akron

Buffalo at Toledo

Central Michigan at Ohio

Kent State at Western Michigan

Miami (OH) at Massachusetts

Old Dominion at App State

Coastal Carolina at Marshall

James Madison at Georgia Southern

Louisiana at Louisiana Tech

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, with preseason ratings projected from last season. How the model works.