Oregon Ducks

0–0 · 0–0 BIG TEN

Preseason

WEEK 11 · 2026

The Week 11 job

Beat Michigan and avoid turning a likely win into a season problem.

TBD

SAT NOV 14

TV TBA

playoff chanceNow70%Win77%Loss44%

Michigan

Michigan 19%Oregon 81%

Oregon

By importanceWatch plan

TBD

SAT NOV 14

TV TBA

Priority 1

Root for

Northwestern

at

Ohio State

Root for Northwestern6.9-point title-game boost

Big Ten race: Ohio State losing helps your spot in the standings.

40% if Northwestern wins34% with the other result6.9-point differenceOregon Big Ten title-game chance

TBD

SAT NOV 14

TV TBA

Priority 2

Root for

USC

at

Indiana

Root for USC4.8-point title-game boost

Big Ten race: Indiana losing helps your spot in the standings.

38% if USC wins34% with the other result4.8-point differenceOregon Big Ten title-game chance

…

…

NBC

Priority 3

Root for

Boston College

at

Notre Dame

Root for Boston College4.8-point first-round-bye boost

You're close to a playoff lock: the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Boston College winning protects it.

29% if Boston College wins24% with the other result4.8-point differenceOregon first-round bye chance

TBD

SAT NOV 14

TV TBA

Priority 4

Root for

Minnesota

at

Penn State

Root for Minnesota3.0-point title-game boost

Big Ten race: Penn State losing helps your spot in the standings.

37% if Minnesota wins34% with the other result3-point differenceOregon Big Ten title-game chance

TBD

SAT NOV 14

TV TBA

Priority 5

Root for

Purdue

at

Iowa

Root for Purdue3.0-point title-game boost

Big Ten race: Iowa losing helps your spot in the standings.

37% if Purdue wins34% with the other result3-point differenceOregon Big Ten title-game chance

TBD

SAT NOV 14

TV TBA

Priority 6

Texas

at

Root for

LSU

Root for LSU1.4-point playoff boost

LSU winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

71% if LSU wins70% with the other result1.4-point differenceOregon playoff chance

TBD

SAT NOV 14

TV TBA

Priority 7

Washington

at

Root for

Michigan State

Root for Michigan State2.1-point title-game boost

Big Ten race: Washington losing helps your spot in the standings; Michigan State visits your schedule in week 12: keep them ranked.

36% if Michigan State wins34% with the other result2.1-point differenceOregon Big Ten title-game chance

TBD

SAT NOV 14

TV TBA

Priority 8

Texas Tech

at

Root for

Oklahoma State

Root for Oklahoma State≈0.3 seed lines

Seeding watch: Oklahoma State winning moves you from around the 6th seed toward the 6th: a friendlier bracket.

Texas Tech 95%

56 more games that don't move your needle

Utah at Arizona

Auburn at Mississippi State

Oregon State at Boise State · USA Network

Nebraska at Rutgers

Missouri at Georgia

Western Michigan at Akron

Kent State at Bowling Green

Ohio at Miami (OH)

Buffalo at Ball State

Massachusetts at Toledo

Memphis at South Florida

Louisiana at UL Monroe

Florida State at Pittsburgh · ESPN

Arizona State at UCF

Baylor at BYU

Cincinnati at Iowa State

Houston at Colorado · ESPN

Kansas at West Virginia

Kansas State at TCU

South Carolina at Arkansas

Florida at Kentucky

Ole Miss at Oklahoma

Tennessee at Texas A&M

Alabama at Vanderbilt

California at Virginia

Duke at Miami

Georgia Tech at Clemson

Louisville at North Carolina

Stanford at Virginia Tech

Syracuse at NC State

Wake Forest at SMU

Wisconsin at Maryland

Illinois at UCLA · FOX

Utah State at San Diego State · USA Network

Fresno State at Texas State · The CW Network

Colorado State at Washington State · CBSSN

James Madison at UConn · CBSSN

East Carolina at Charlotte

Florida Atlantic at Tulsa

North Texas at UTSA

Tulane at Rice

UAB at Temple

Nevada at Northern Illinois · MW+

San José State at Air Force · CBSSN

UNLV at New Mexico · The CW Network

Wyoming at UTEP

App State at Marshall

Arkansas State at Coastal Carolina

Georgia Southern at Georgia State

Jacksonville State at Western Kentucky

Kennesaw State at Sam Houston

New Mexico State at Missouri State

Florida International at Delaware

Middle Tennessee at Liberty · CBSSN

Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech

Troy at South Alabama

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 11, with preseason ratings projected from last season. How the model works.