Oregon Ducks
0–0 · 0–0 BIG TEN
Way too early
WEEK 11 · 2026
39%
Big Ten title game
18%
Win the Big Ten
>99%
Make the playoff
30%
First-round bye
avg seed 5.2
Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-11 job: beat Michigan.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Oregon's pathYour game
TBD
SAT NOV 14
Michigan at Oregon
Your game. Beat Michigan and your playoff odds are >99%; lose and they drop to 98%.
Oregon 83%
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
TBD
SAT NOV 14
Texas Tech at Oklahoma State
You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Oklahoma State winning protects it.
Texas Tech 99%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT NOV 14
Northwestern at Ohio State
Big Ten race: Ohio State losing helps your spot in the standings.
Ohio State 97%
TBD
SAT NOV 14
USC at Indiana
Big Ten race: Indiana losing helps your spot in the standings.
Indiana 85%
TBD
SAT NOV 14
Missouri at Georgia
You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Missouri winning protects it.
Georgia 85%
TBD
SAT NOV 14
Minnesota at Penn State
Big Ten race: Penn State losing helps your spot in the standings.
Penn State 91%
59 more games that don't move your needle
Washington at Michigan State
Kennesaw State at Sam Houston
Ole Miss at Oklahoma
Houston at Colorado
Western Michigan at Akron
Kent State at Bowling Green
Ohio at Miami (OH)
Buffalo at Ball State
Massachusetts at Toledo
Memphis at South Florida
Louisiana at UL Monroe
Florida State at Pittsburgh
Arizona State at UCF
Baylor at BYU
Cincinnati at Iowa State
Kansas at West Virginia
Kansas State at TCU
Utah at Arizona
South Carolina at Arkansas
Florida at Kentucky
Texas at LSU
Auburn at Mississippi State
Tennessee at Texas A&M
Alabama at Vanderbilt
California at Virginia
Duke at Miami
Georgia Tech at Clemson
Louisville at North Carolina
Stanford at Virginia Tech
Syracuse at NC State
Wake Forest at SMU
Purdue at Iowa
Wisconsin at Maryland
Nebraska at Rutgers
Illinois at UCLA
Oregon State at Boise State
Utah State at San Diego State
Fresno State at Texas State
Colorado State at Washington State
James Madison at UConn
East Carolina at Charlotte
Florida Atlantic at Tulsa
North Texas at UTSA
Tulane at Rice
UAB at Temple
Nevada at Northern Illinois
San José State at Air Force
UNLV at New Mexico
Wyoming at UTEP
App State at Marshall
Arkansas State at Coastal Carolina
Georgia Southern at Georgia State
Jacksonville State at Western Kentucky
New Mexico State at Missouri State
Florida International at Delaware
Middle Tennessee at Liberty
Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech
Troy at South Alabama
Boston College at Notre Dame
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 11, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.