🏈 Fan Watch
How to watch

Penn State Nittany Lions

0–0 · 0–0 BIG TEN
Way too early
WEEK 1 · 2026
27%
Big Ten title game
8%
Win the Big Ten
60%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 9.0
Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-1 job: beat Marshall.

If Penn State wins out: 32% to win the Big Ten, >99% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Penn State's path
Your game
TBD
SAT SEP 5
Marshall at Penn State

Your game. Beat Marshall and your playoff odds are 62%; lose and they drop to 31%.

Penn State 93%
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ABC
Louisville at Ole Miss

Louisville winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Ole Miss 73%
Root for Louisville+3.5 pp playoff odds
TBD
SAT SEP 5
Texas State at Texas

Texas State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Texas 87%
Root for Texas State+3.1 pp playoff odds
…
… · ABC
East Carolina at Alabama

East Carolina winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Alabama 87%
Root for East Carolina+3.0 pp playoff odds
TBD
SAT SEP 5
Missouri State at Texas A&M

Missouri State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Texas A&M 94%
Root for Missouri State+2.8 pp playoff odds
TBD
SAT SEP 5
Florida Atlantic at Florida

Florida winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Florida 91%
Root for Florida+2.6 pp playoff odds
TBD
SAT AUG 29
San José State at USC

Big Ten race: USC losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play USC in week 6.

USC 98%
Root for San José State+3.7 pp title-game odds
TBD
FRI SEP 4
Fresno State at USC

You still play USC in week 6.

USC 89%
Root for Fresno State+2.2 pp playoff odds
TBD
SAT SEP 5
Boise State at Oregon

Big Ten race: Oregon losing helps your spot in the standings.

Oregon 91%
Root for Boise State+2.5 pp title-game odds
TBD
SAT SEP 5
North Texas at Indiana

Big Ten race: Indiana losing helps your spot in the standings.

Indiana 93%
Root for North Texas+2.2 pp title-game odds
39 more games that don't move your needle
Hawai'i at Stanford
Memphis at UNLV
New Mexico State at Florida State
North Carolina at TCU · ESPN
NC State at Virginia · ESPN
Akron at Wake Forest
Massachusetts at Rutgers
Colorado at Georgia Tech · ESPN
Toledo at Michigan State
San José State at Eastern Michigan
Miami at Stanford · ESPN
UL Monroe at Mississippi State
UTEP at Oklahoma
Kent State at South Carolina
Oklahoma State at Tulsa
Boston College at Cincinnati
Oregon State at Houston
Coastal Carolina at West Virginia
Miami (OH) at Pittsburgh
Tulane at Duke
UCLA at California
UAB at Illinois
Northern Illinois at Iowa
Western Michigan at Michigan
Ohio at Nebraska
Ball State at Ohio State
Washington State at Washington
Wyoming at Colorado State
Arkansas State at Memphis
Florida International at South Florida
Western Kentucky at Nevada
UNLV at Hawai'i
Central Michigan at New Mexico
Liberty at James Madison
Sam Houston at Troy
Baylor at Auburn · ABC
Clemson at LSU · ABC
Notre Dame at Wisconsin
SMU at Florida State · ESPN

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 1, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.