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Penn State Nittany Lions

00 · 00 BIG TEN
Way too early
WEEK 13 · 2026
27%
Big Ten title game
8%
Win the Big Ten
60%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 9.0
Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-13 job: beat Maryland.
Playoff odds by week

If Penn State wins out: 32% to win the Big Ten, >99% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Penn State's path
Your game
TBD
SAT NOV 28
Penn State at Maryland

Your game. Beat Maryland and your playoff odds are 64%; lose and they drop to 26%.

Penn State 90%
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
TBD
SAT NOV 28
Purdue at Indiana

Big Ten race: Indiana losing helps your spot in the standings.

Indiana 99%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT NOV 28
USC at UCLA

UCLA winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

USC 90%
TBD
SAT NOV 28
West Virginia at Utah

West Virginia winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Utah 97%
TBD
SAT NOV 28
Auburn at Alabama

Auburn winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Alabama 81%
TBD
SAT NOV 28
Washington at Oregon

Big Ten race: Oregon losing helps your spot in the standings.

Oregon 84%
TBD
SAT NOV 28
Michigan at Ohio State

Ohio State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Ohio State 88%
TBD
FRI NOV 27
Nebraska at Iowa

Nebraska winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Iowa 88%
· ABC
Mississippi State at Ole Miss

Mississippi State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Ole Miss 92%
· ESPN
TCU at Texas Tech

Texas Tech winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Texas Tech 92%
· ABC
Texas at Texas A&M

Texas A&M winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Texas A&M 56%
TBD
FRI NOV 27
Tulane at South Florida

Tulane winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

South Florida 77%
TBD
SAT NOV 28
Oklahoma at Missouri

Missouri winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Missouri 53%
50 more games that don't move your needle
Kent State at Eastern Michigan
Miami (OH) at Western Michigan
Florida Atlantic at East Carolina
Temple at Memphis
Buffalo at Akron
Toledo at Ohio
App State at South Alabama
Florida at Florida State · ABC
LSU at Arkansas
Georgia Tech at Georgia
Louisville at Kentucky
South Carolina at Clemson
Tennessee at Vanderbilt
Arizona State at Arizona
Baylor at Houston
UCF at Colorado
Cincinnati at BYU
Kansas at Oklahoma State
Kansas State at Iowa State
Boston College at Miami
Duke at Wake Forest
NC State at North Carolina
Notre Dame at Syracuse
Pittsburgh at California
SMU at Stanford
Virginia at Virginia Tech
Northwestern at Illinois
Michigan State at Rutgers
Minnesota at Wisconsin
UConn at Wyoming
Tulsa at UTSA
Army at Rice
Navy at Charlotte
UAB at North Texas
Air Force at New Mexico
Nevada at UNLV
UTEP at Northern Illinois
Central Michigan at Ball State
Massachusetts at Bowling Green
Troy at Arkansas State
Coastal Carolina at James Madison
Louisiana Tech at Georgia Southern
Louisiana at Georgia State
Kennesaw State at Western Kentucky
Jacksonville State at Delaware
Liberty at Missouri State
Sam Houston at Florida International
New Mexico State at Middle Tennessee
Marshall at UL Monroe
Southern Miss at Old Dominion

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 13, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.